OK, so here I sit on a $950 downswing after playing VERY well the past week or so. I HATE variance and I stew all day at work when I lose a bit of money, so lets look at some bad plays from the past 2 days.
#1) 5 handed $1/$2 NL.
UTG raises to $7, 1 caller and I call in the SB with AQ. I could re-raise but I think a call is fine.
Pot $22. Flop Q63. I lead $12, raiser folds and other guy calls.
Pot $46. Turn T. I check, he bets $25 and I check raise to $75. He calls.
Pot $196. River K. I have $105 left and I push. I doubt I can beat anything but QJ so I think this is really bad. I lost to QT. I shouldve saved $105 and check/folded the river. The rest of the hand can be debated but Im only really concerned with a pretty obvious wasted $105.
#2) Same table. Big hand that I posted here
forum/viewtopic.php?t=16774
I can easily fold the flop and save $295. Whether or not my big bluff is +EV is up for debate but I save $295 if I dont try it.
#3) Heads up $1/$2 NL
I raise to $7 with
[Qs]. He calls.
Pot $14. Flop
[6h][5d]. He checks, I bet $10 and he min raises me to $20. I call.
Pot $54. Turn
He leads $40 and I raise all in to $$170. He calls with 74 and I miss my flush. I didnt think he was going to call and I had outs, but is this really necessary? I couldve folded or called to try to hit the flush. If the over card hits, I probably get busted anway heads up, but it didnt so I count this as wasted $130.
#4) Heads up. He raises to $6 and I call with A8.
Pot $12. Flop T84. He bets $10 and I call.
Pot $32. Turn 2 He bets $24 and I raise to $100. He pushes and its another $100 to me. I fold and he shows QQ. Theres really no need to bluff these guys like this heads up. Ive been killing them w/o doing it. Wasted $100. Shouldve just folded the turn,
So theres $630 I wasted out of the $950 Im down right now. I lost a big pot at $2/$4 NL with a flopped set in a raised pot to a flopped straight. That cost me about $200.
Take away the bad luck set hand and these other 4 bad mistakes and my "horrible" streak is now just about wiped away and its just a mediocre break even day and a half because I didnt hit any good hands.
Anyone disagree?