Im obviously on a bad run here. Im down about 4.5 buy ins. Its really hard to tell if I had some really good luck at first and now Im being outplayed or if I am good enough to play these stakes regularly and Im just having really bad luck right now. Streaks like this can really shake your confidence and make you question everything about your game.

Ive done EV calculations on every hand where I was all in with cards still to come and my actual results are $2064 below what they should be if I got the actual EV from each of these all in hands. if you add this $2064 to my total results, Im in a lot better shape and my win rate would be 7 PTBBs instead of 5.5 PTBBs. 5.5PTBBs is actually pretty good for these stakes, but the problem is that all the winning was at the beginning and Im in a free fall now so like I said its hard to evaluate my play. I do know Ive made some mistakes with a few bad calls and some ill timed bluffs, but its really hard to tell if Im being outpplayed in the smaller pots that dont get shown down.

Ive been all in preflop twice with QQ vs AK and lost both and Ive been all in on the flop once when it was a coin flip (nut flush draw and overs, vs hs TP and gutshot) I lost that one also.

Then today I called a $60 raise and I flopped a set. I had 33 vs JT on a 963 flop....he bet pot on the flop and I called. He bet close to pot on the K turn and I called and he rivered a Q. Thats hard to stomach when youre already running very badly. Im gonna keep on playing these stakes for at least a month and see what the results are at that point, but I will say that my confidence is teetering badly right now.

Thats exactly the problem. I know Ive gotten unlucky in several big hands, but I dont know about all the medium sized pots where the cards dont get shown down.

Most of these 5/10 players are raising 14-18% of their hands and Im having a tough time adjusting. It could be that Im just missing every flop right now.

Also, it seems like when I raise, all of my CBs are getting called and Im having to give up most of the time. I cant figure out if they are floating me with nothing or if they are just hitting the flop more often than normal over the past 4 days or so.

I needed 200 or so raked hands at Code poker to hit 4500 raked hands which qualifies me for a $1000 max bonus (providiign Im up $2K or more for the month at that site).

I was up just over $2K and wanted to finish the hand requirement while making sure I didnt lose enough to go below the $23K mark, so I played $200NL for those 200 raked hands. I won a little over 2 buy ins and finished the hands.

Then I switched to a different Prima skin and went back to $5/$10. I won another $1000 or so. Hopefully, the luck is turning. I didnt do anything different at all. I just got a few hands for a change.