I'm looking at an exact hand I played last night to illustrate this point TROD.
I raise to $17 OTB with
BB is the only caller
My read on him from some lower stakes games a while back was that he was an over-aggro idiot, but he's moved up to 500NL so he cant be that bad I guess.
Flop comes
, pot is $36
He checks, I bet $25, he calls.
Pot is $86 and I am putting him on a smaller ace or a pair. He would bet a flush or straight draw IMO.
Turn is
, pot is $86.
He checks, I check behind, partially fearing AQ, partially because I'm either behind or he has 2 or maybe 4 outs.
River is a complete rag. He instabets $50, I instacalled and he showed 88 and MHWG.
If I bet the turn, I am either egtting raised if I am behind or he's folsing and I lose his additional 10bb on the river.
500NL is a strange animal, very few times will you jst take a whole stack .