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How often will this work? - Live Poker Forums

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How often will this work?

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How often will this work?

Postby iceman5 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:02 pm

I raise to $35 on the button with [3d][3c]. Both blinds call.

Pot $105. Flop [Ad][8d][5c]. They check and I bet $80. BB calls.

Pot $265. Turn [6d] Check/check
Pot $265. River [Qd]. He bets $175 and I raised to $450. Do you think he folds enough for this to be profitable?

PS..this is a bluff, not a value bet. I dont expect to win if he calls.
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Postby T-Rod » Thu Sep 14, 2006 12:24 pm

Hmmm. Very tricksy.

I really want a read. Does he often get aggressive on rivers after a turn check? Also, if he's a tight player I like it less than a loose player.

I think he'd need a K to call. What hand is he calling with on the flop with a K in it? Not many.

I dunno. His bet seem more like a VB than a blocking one so unless you think he's capable of making a good fold, its probably not worth it.
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Postby Aisthesis » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:36 pm

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Postby ua1176 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 1:39 pm

i'd like it a lot more if the [Ad] was swapped out for some other random [d] on the board
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Postby iceman5 » Thu Sep 14, 2006 5:52 pm

I have no idea how often this will work, but he did fold.
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Postby Stelvask » Thu Sep 14, 2006 6:08 pm

Well, he can't really call you without the [Kd] here. If he's going to be bold and call you with the [Jd], or if he's going to be fishy and call you with something less, then good on him.

But we all know that you're going to have the [Kd] more often than a bluff here, so if the guy is going to play with you here without the K, then good on him. obv. if he has the K it's a moot point.

I like this bluff
-[4h]-
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Postby Xaston » Thu Sep 14, 2006 6:48 pm

How's about a minraise?
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Postby Dumb Snowman » Thu Sep 14, 2006 7:36 pm

[Jd] or [Td] will frustratingly call a minraise here every time. Probably even a [9d].
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Postby shobute » Fri Sep 15, 2006 12:05 am

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