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Easy value bet? 1/2 FR

Postby Spank_her_Pair » Fri Sep 22, 2006 11:27 am

Hijack raises, I 3-bet OTB w/ [Td] [9d]

FLop
[5d] [6h] [8h]
HJ check, Hero bets, HJ calls

Turn
[Th]
HJ check, Hero bets, HJ calls

[8c]
HJ checks, Hero? Should I bet here or check down?
[5c] [7c]
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Postby antneye » Fri Sep 22, 2006 11:36 am

He is playing this like overs, AQ? AJ? if hes passive PF then AK. You don't give me a read on him so its tough. A real passive player could easily show QQ or JJ here...it happened to me last night (almost went on tilt but thats another story altogether). So reads are important.

Assuming he is your typical player who would have raised an overpairon the flop, its safe to say he has two overcards. If you bet here, he probably folds. If you're read is wrong he calls you down with the QQ JJ or some other hand you can't beat. I just don't see any second best hands that can call you here. So I am checking behind.

Now if you tell me he is a calling station who will call overs on the river, then this is a clear cut value bet.
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Postby Spank_her_Pair » Fri Sep 22, 2006 12:44 pm

[5c] [7c]
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Postby antneye » Fri Sep 22, 2006 2:06 pm

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Postby stickdude » Fri Sep 22, 2006 2:23 pm

"My name is Inigo Montoya. You cracked my Aces... prepare to die"
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Postby antneye » Fri Sep 22, 2006 2:26 pm

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Postby JJSCOTT2 » Fri Sep 22, 2006 2:44 pm

I think there's a wide enough range of hands that you could get called with that makes this a bet.
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Postby phytopath » Fri Sep 22, 2006 3:56 pm

Yeah I think you should bet here, even against solid players you'll get some value out of your top pair here. If you get raised then you can probably fold unless of course you know this guy can do some crazy river bluff raises.
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Postby Spank_her_Pair » Fri Sep 22, 2006 4:43 pm

Thanks for the responses.

I checked behind and Villian showed [Kc] [Jh]. So i didnt lose any money by checking but thought afterwards that a value bet might have been +EV.
[5c] [7c]
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Postby JJSCOTT2 » Fri Sep 22, 2006 4:47 pm

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Postby woody » Fri Sep 22, 2006 5:54 pm

With K high after you 3 bet pre-flop, if you bet on the river, I doubt if your opponent is going to call.
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Postby Danhdan » Fri Sep 22, 2006 6:13 pm

"Million dollar play, ten cent finish."

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"Laugh and the world stares at you; cry, and the world stares at you."
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