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I have a set...oh crap - Live Poker Forums

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I have a set...oh crap

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I have a set...oh crap

Postby iceman5 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 10:55 am

$200NL at UB

SB completes and I raise to $8 in the BB with 66. He calls. No real read as I only have 45 hands on him.

Pot $16. Flop [6h][8h][5h]. he checks, I bet $15 and he CRAI. Its $185 to me. :shock: :shock:

WTF?
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Postby Electrolux » Sun Oct 29, 2006 11:19 am

What hands could he play like that?
It seems as he would like you to fold - to say the least.
Either a str8 or a set, would be my take. Maybe a bluff with the [Ah]

On a str8, you are 30% to boat up. And it is 50/50 you are oversetted.

Without a read I would fold. If I had top set I guess I would call.
- Mexicans are filthy. I once blew a Mexican. I had diarrhea for a week. Sarah Silverman

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Postby black_knight6 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 11:21 am

Call...it's going to be variance, but I think +EV in the end. That play is almost ALWAYS the naked Ah.
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Postby NorthView » Sun Oct 29, 2006 12:34 pm

I call. 88 is possible, but I'm happy getting stacked on the flop with middle set vs top set.

My guess is he's got you on an overpair and thinks he can get you to fold, with his [Ah] or [7h] giving him outs should you call.
Mon May 12, 2008 1:46 am
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==================================================================

[21:03] NorthViewBTP: mac is a fellow mexican
[21:03] Mekosking: yup
[21:03] NorthViewBTP: you should support your bro
[21:03] Mekosking: therefore hes a fat worthless tsr obv
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Postby k3nt » Sun Oct 29, 2006 1:19 pm

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Postby MVPSPORTS » Sun Oct 29, 2006 1:50 pm

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Postby The Golden 1 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 1:55 pm

"I have a set" on the flop, much less middle set, should almost never be followed by "oh crap" at Nl200 6max unless your against the ultraingest of calling station who goes nuts. Call pretty quickly.
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Postby Devbert » Sun Oct 29, 2006 2:52 pm

He probably could have a straight or a small flush, but a lot of aggro players will make this play with Ace of hearts and a straight draw (A-9, A-7, A-4), maybe even 7-8 with the 7 of hearts.

I'd probably call - it looks like a semi-bluff for $185 into a pot of $37.
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Postby adamh » Sun Oct 29, 2006 4:07 pm

mets better step it up
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Postby iceman5 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 6:46 pm

I called after a few seconds of thought. He had a monster.....[Ac][3h].
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Postby ua1176 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 6:52 pm

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Postby AlexMR » Sun Oct 29, 2006 7:08 pm

[17:16] alitomr: http://micropenis.ws/forum/viewtopic.php?t=723
[17:19] mekosking: wow
[17:19] mekosking: i give that poof a week tops
[17:19] mekosking: before he snuffs it
[17:19] mekosking: I THINK THAT MAY BE NV
[17:20] mekosking: IN DISGUISE
[17:20] alitomr: LOLZ
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Postby wreck27 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 7:39 pm

“The real things to know is that folks will stand to lose more than they will to win. That’s the most important percentage there is. I mean, if they lose, they’re willin’ to lose everything. If they win, they’re usually satisfied to win enough to pay for dinner and a show. The best gamblers know that.” - Pug Pearson
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Postby iceman5 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 8:47 pm

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Postby The Golden 1 » Sun Oct 29, 2006 8:50 pm

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