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Expected Winrates??

Postby sULs » Wed Nov 22, 2006 6:23 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Nov 23, 2006 12:57 am

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Re: Expected Winrates??

Postby GodlikeRoy » Thu Nov 23, 2006 12:59 am

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Nov 23, 2006 1:45 am

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Postby Improbable » Thu Nov 23, 2006 3:29 am

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Postby Cactus Jack » Thu Nov 23, 2006 8:57 am

I've been having this conversation with a friend out here (Jim, for you guys who met him) about live winrates.

I do about $30/hr at $1/$2, but with a small sample size. He's at $21/hr with a much larger sample size--but he's way too LAGGY, imho, and gives away a lot.

Angel has stated his winrate at $2/$5 is $100/hr. A lot of people have disputed this as being possible.

Anyone want to chime in here?
"Are the players better as the stakes go up? It's not an exam; it's a buyin." Barry Tanenbaum
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Thu Nov 23, 2006 9:07 am

From my limited live game play (and note that the games in Aus must differ in skill from the games on vegas/usa) I don't think the 1/2 NL game here is beatable ($5 per hour timecharge plus a 5% up to $6 rake - remember we don't tip the dealers though). I think our 2/3 game with a $200 buyin (same rake structure) is beatable to the tune of $25 per hour. The 2/5 game in which i've played the most, I think is beatable at about $60-$80 per hour depending on time of day/table chosen/etc (i don't have enough experience to narrow the range down any more). The rake for that game is 10% up to $6 with a $10 per/hr time charge.

I think online play is much much much much much much much more profitable than live play if you get two players of equal skill (given that they can multi-table effectively).
Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Nov 23, 2006 1:27 pm

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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Nov 23, 2006 1:29 pm

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Postby Cactus Jack » Thu Nov 23, 2006 1:33 pm

"Are the players better as the stakes go up? It's not an exam; it's a buyin." Barry Tanenbaum
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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Nov 23, 2006 1:48 pm

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Postby sULs » Thu Nov 23, 2006 5:29 pm

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