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50$ NL 5-max, AA with tricky flop - Live Poker Forums

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50$ NL 5-max, AA with tricky flop

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50$ NL 5-max, AA with tricky flop

Postby Roy Batty » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:25 pm

I have 67.50$ villain covers me. I'm on SB with [Ac] [Ah] , two limpers ahead of me I make it 2.50$ now very loose calling station flat calls on BB and another caller from UTG+1.

FLOP (pot 8$): [Qc] [7c] [Jc]

I bet out 5.50$ villain on BB pushes me allin , UTG+1 folds and I call.

Turn (pot 135$): [3s]

River (pot 135$): [8h]

I know that I should fold if I was against a set, but I was pretty confident that he doesn't have a set, but maybe some kind of draw with [Kc] because otherwise he was very passive and was slowplaying monsters. But anyway i should probably fold most of the time. but against this player i was scared only to see [Kc][Tc] which I strongly believed he would not play this powerful on the flop.

I would like some thoughts about your reads in relation with mathematical conclusions on such hands. When you're very confident that you know how a certain player plays a hand but on the other hand against most other players you will be far behind.
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Postby iceman5 » Wed Dec 13, 2006 9:37 pm

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Postby Xaston » Wed Dec 13, 2006 11:53 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby black_knight6 » Thu Dec 14, 2006 1:18 am

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Postby Yenool » Thu Dec 14, 2006 4:43 am

If I am in the SB out of position on the flop vs 2 limpers and a calling station being one of them, I want to make it a minimum of $3 preflop.

On the flop I think I would make one of those calls where you cross your fingers slightly as the turn and river get dealt.

If you have a read saying he wouldn't play a made flush this way then that is perfect, because you are actually a small favorite against a flopped two pair with QJ and you are 35% against a set of 7's.... you are absolutely crushing (84%+) a hand like [Kc] Qx / Jx

so I call on the flop.
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