Manufactoring a Winning Streak
I think it was Mike Caro who wrote about this. Lately I've been finding myself planning on playing for about 2-3 hours and getting up and leaving after about an hour and a half if I'm up a decent amount because I don't want to lose it back. It seems that everytime I've overstayed my welcome I end up running into a big loser just before I leave. Today I tried to battle that notion as I spent most of my session comfortably up a stack and told myself that I should stay because I was still playing well. No sooner did I unclick the "Autopost blinds" button when I get dealt KK on one table while getting dealt AA on the other table. My 2nd Cowboys of the session and my 1st rockets. So naturally, the following happened.....
[Ks] in CO. There was 1 new player posting in middle position then it was folded to me. I had been fairly active in LP, but hadn't been winning at this table. I was doing well at the other table. I raised to $1 with $19.85 behind. Only the BB called.
Flop
[6d][3h] Pot $2.35
I bet $2 and BB calls. BB had been playing a fairly tight game and had been giving up his blinds to me either preflop or on the flop unless he had something on a pretty regular basis. His call told me he had something and with that pretty much rag flop I was thinking it was probably something big. I was ready to check the turn or even give it up if I was bet into.
Turn
Pot $6.35
Well thank god for miracles. I didn't even think about playing this slow as I knew I was getting c/r'ed. He had me covered so I bet $4, he min-c/r'ed and I put him all-in. He had the 6's and I re-sucked.
As for the Aces.....
[Ac] in the SB. I have everyone at the table covered with a double stack. UTG+1 raises to $.75 with a full stack. MP1 calls with just $2.40 left. I re-raise to $4.50.
As soon as I made that raise I told myself that I was going all the way with this hand if called. If UTG+1 called he was putting 1/5 of his stack in. That gives him 6/1 odds if he stacks me which isn't what he needs to play for a set. No matter what happened, I had made him make a mistake under the fundamental theorem of poker. Thoughts???
He did call and had $19.60 behind. I didn't have much of a read but he had been a tight player through 3 orbits. Other player folded.
Flop
[8s][Kh] Pot $10
This flop didn't scare me. If he had KK I figured the money would have gone in preflop. Most likely he had QQ/JJ/AK or even TT. I believe he would have folded anything else. I bet $7.75 and he calls. I immediately put him on AK.
Turn
Pot $25.50
I check, with no intention of folding. I already knew that I was playing this for my whole stack. I just didn't want him to have second thoughts and fold if he had put me on QQ or JJ.
River
Pot $25.50
I bet $8.50 and he pushes for $11.85 and shows me the set of Kings. I was pretty shocked, but then realized that this is what usually happens when I over-stay my welcome. I lose a stack with a big pair.
So by some 2 out miracle on the turn I end up splitting KK vs 66 and AA vs KK just before I leave and only end up losing $5 between the 2. Still finished up for the session, but I gotta start learning to just push the damn Aces and Kings pre-flop. That's the only chance I have of winning a decent pot with them.
This was my favorite hand of the day though....
[Jh] OTB (only my 3rd hand at the table).1 limp, MP2 min-raises, I re-raise to $1.50 (or 3x his raise). MP2 is only caller.
[9s][Js] Pot $3.60
He bets $1, I raise to $4.25 and he calls. Basically I need to tell you that I'm not afraid of anyone who min-raises after a limper in NL. Even if he has the flush I have outs. I'm only in terrible shape against one hand.
Pot $12.10
Beautiful. We both check.
Pot $12.10
He checks ($15.30 left). I push for $19.50. It might look like a bluff and either he has something or he doesn't. Lot of possibilities on that board so no sense in going for the small bet. He called w/
[Qd]. Great decision to check and let him catch his gutshot or another spade on the river. I'm not sure he would have called a big bet on the turn without the
.....or maybe he would have.
On a brigher note, I think I'm finally starting to learn some of the finer points of playing winning poker and extracting money on marginal to very good, but non-nut hands. I've already mastered losing a big stack with 2 pair or TPTK hands so I figure if I'm not going to fold them anyway against certain opponents, then why not just be a little patient and make some money off them. Cases in point....
Hand 1:
I raise
[Kc] UTG to $1 (4x). SB re-raises to $3 and I call. He has $17.45 left and I have him covered.
[Ad][Td] Pot $6.25
He checks. In the past I would have just bet my Ace and only gotten called, and lost a whole bunch, if he had Aces. Now I figure....
If I have an Ace and there is an Ace on the flop, it's very unlikely that he has the other 2 Aces. More likely he has KK, QQ, or possibly even JJ. AK is possible but also unlikely for the the same reason AA is unlikely. If he has KK or QQ he is going to most likely fold to my bet and I win a small pot. So I basically going to lose a big pot if he slow plays a set of Aces or win a small pot when he folds to my bet. I finally realize that I have much more to lose than I do to gain by betting this flop. So I check.
Pot $6.25
He bets $3. So now he thinks that Ace may have scared me as well. He knows I don't have Aces or I would have re-raised preflop. He now thinks I may have something like Jacks. Right now Tens and 9's beat him too. So he can't make that bet with Jacks himself because Jacks don't beat anything. Now I raise to $7.25 because I know he's probably not going to bet again or call a river bet with anything I beat. At this point I figure his only possible holdings are AA/AK/QQ. (I should point out that this is only against a competant opponent, which there are some at $25NL believe it or not.) He calls.
Pot $20.75
Now I go for the small bet because that's the only thing I think QQ will call at this point. He does call and he does have QQ. So I already knew how to lose a big pot with that flop vs a hand that beats me. I used to be proficient at getting them to fold hands i beat on the flop, but now I have finally learned how to get some money from hands I beat there.
Hand 2:
I have
[Jc] in the SB. CO who had been tight, but aggressive in position open-raises 3x to $.75. Button calls, I call, BB folds.
[Qc][8s] Pot $2.50
This is either a very good flop or a terrible flop for me. I'll admit that I'm a little more concerned about the button than CO right now. CO bets $2 and once Button folds, it's an easy call. I have $13.40 left and he has me covered easily.
Pot $6.50
Check, check. And now I'm pretty sure I'm ahead.
Pot $6.50
Normal reaction is to bet out because I have 2 pair and in the past I would normally do this. Now I realize 2 things....
1 - If I bet and he has nothing, he folds and I don't make anything.
2 - If he had a K he probably would have bet the turn, so even with 2 pair it's likely that the only hand that calls my bet is one that beats me, or AT.
So I checked and gave him a chance to bluff, which he did with a $5 bet. He had
[2s].
Maybe I am ready to move up.