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My horrible Pokerstats part 2. Please help

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My horrible Pokerstats part 2. Please help

Postby Jossnaz » Wed Dec 20, 2006 2:40 pm

Hello

The game played is NL 10$ full ring

Ok here my stats, i hope someone can help me out because I'm still frustrated not making any money playing hours of poker.
9000 hands are not much, but the BB/100 speak for themselves at this level i guess


Please can someone help me with this?

Because actually I enjoy playing poker, but playing for hours with the result of having lost 4 dollars is terrible. I guess that I call too much, 2 pairs on the flop or pocketoverpair against set or straights and I call the all in, losing all advance I made is frustrating. If i'm calling too much please tell me.

Please have a look



Image




What I know is that I call too mach in SB, altough I'm in plus there if you remove the SB. I know its too much and it should be lower, how much then?
To the other positional stats, should they linearly raise? lets say from 15 UTG to 25 percent on button?


As you can see I play much tighter than in the first post, but no difference in bb/100.


Thanks so much to you, would not be the first time you change my newbielike pokerstyle to the heart.
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Postby Alastor2262 » Wed Dec 20, 2006 5:27 pm

something strikes me :
Image
it means that 2/3 of the time you are wrong when you called a river bet, if i were you ill start putting more thoughts into calling river bets.....
if you cant make that number >50 you might as well stop calling river bets all together.
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Postby excession » Wed Dec 20, 2006 7:36 pm

if you cant make that number >50 you might as well stop calling river bets all together.

:?: :?:

even if the average bet on the end was pot sized (which it isn't - it's probably somewhere around 1/2 pot - 2/3 pot sized) this statement would be incorrect

In a $100 pot facing a bet on the end of another $100 you are getting 2:1 on your call. Risking $100 to win $200. If you win just over 1/3 of the time (as he does) you will still be better off in the long run calling than folding:
To be clear just under 2/3 of the time you lose another $100 but more than one in three you make $200 - so a call is +EV.
In reality you are often getting 3:1 on a call on the end - I suspect the true breakeven % may be as low as 25%..

Now this of course is viewing the river call in isolation - the other aspect of that is that up to half the dead money in the pot that makes the river a must call is your own - 2/3 of the time presumably you somehow got it in whilst you were behind on the earlier streets- it isn't just a river problem - you are getting too much money in the pot with the worst of it..

Over my last 9k hands at Tribeca my called and won river is at 49%+ btw..

That said, the most obvious problem is your lack of positional sense.
Look at the Vp$ip and PFR % by position - they hardly move - in fact you are playing and raising more from UTG+1 than from the cut-off (Button -1).

Don't play just based on the starting hands - position is at least as important.
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