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Made my flush butwhat does this river bet mean ? (1/2 6 max) - Live Poker Forums

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Made my flush butwhat does this river bet mean ? (1/2 6 max)

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Made my flush butwhat does this river bet mean ? (1/2 6 max)

Postby Cooper » Thu Jan 11, 2007 3:58 am

Posting this hand out of memory (at work):

I'm dealt [As][Ks] on button with with full stack.

MP who seems to be a TAG makes it $8 PF, I reraise to $22, BB calls so does MP.

They both cover me.

Flop:

[Ts] [7s] [7d], Pot $67

BB checks, MP bets $16, I call, BB folds.

Turn is a brick (9) I think, Pot $99

MP checks, I check behind.

River [4s]

MP leads out with $90 into the $99 pot. I do what ?

I dont think he has a set given turn action, do I hope that he made a lower flush and call (all in anyone ?) or do I even fold ?

I usually dont draw with a paired flop bu $16 to a $66 pot seemed to weak to fold and turn card was free soo. Anyone folds flop ? (raise?)
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Postby Zmej » Thu Jan 11, 2007 5:05 am

I doubt that I would push here as played, as villian is a TAG, though I would call for sure.

I don't like your flop call, I would raise it to 80, calling a push. In a reraised pot, I would assign a higher probablilty to him having a PP below QQ or flush, straight draw rather than a boat. You are in a good shape if he doesn't have a boat here (well against trips it's not that good, but I would take my chances). Of course, this advice depends on the style you play, I like to play my draws and made hands strong most of the time (I mix up it occasionally though).
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"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby Cooper » Thu Jan 11, 2007 7:31 am

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Postby Zmej » Thu Jan 11, 2007 7:50 am

"#3 pencils and quadrille pads."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when asked what CAD tools he used to design the Cray I supercomputer; he also recommended using the back side of the pages so that the grid lines were not so dominant.

"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby AXN » Thu Jan 11, 2007 8:22 am

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Postby T-Rod » Thu Jan 11, 2007 9:21 am

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Postby k3nt » Thu Jan 11, 2007 1:56 pm

No way in hell you can fold that river!!

If he's really TAG then I'm guessing he wouldn't raise suited connectors, at least not all that often, from OOP. Is he UTG+1 or CO? If he's UTG+1, I don't think he has a flush here very often. Either a boat or a bluff most of the time. So I just call the river.

If he was the CO then I add suited connectors to his range more often and consider a push because he could have a baby flush.
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Postby Cooper » Fri Jan 12, 2007 1:40 am

II was so sure he didnt have the set I put him all in, which was probably a mistake. Of course he had 44 and I cursed Party for the worst river card there was.

Obivously a flop raise would have taken it down, this time a weak lead was just him testing his waters. I'm getting paranoid by weak leads cause I always think its a monster. No more, Im going to start keeping track of how often a raise takes it down and how often they come over the top.
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Postby Xaston » Fri Jan 12, 2007 2:31 am

Yea I'm all in.
Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby AXN » Fri Jan 12, 2007 8:48 am

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Postby ua1176 » Fri Jan 12, 2007 11:09 am

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