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All in over bet on river (25 NL FR) - Live Poker Forums

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All in over bet on river (25 NL FR)

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All in over bet on river (25 NL FR)

Postby piersmajestyk » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:00 pm

My NL game is generally built around playing relatively small pot, post flop poker without holding some pretty powerful hands which gets the job done very nicely at the lower limits. I really hate calling off stacks in big overbet situations like the following. Who folds to the river bet here and who sucks it up and calls. I check behind many times on the turn to keep pot sizes small when faced with resistance and I was willing to take a chance on a non club river here and perhaps induce a bluff if I was ahead or limit the damage if I was beaten but unfortunately the small river bet didn't materialize.

Villain 17/5.6/2.4 71 hands.

POKERSTARS GAME HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/03/11 - 14:24:04 (ET)
Table 'Musa' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: Blut3ngel ($24.75 in chips)
Seat 3: Captain M6 ($1.40 in chips)
Seat 4: Mich22 ($14.20 in chips)
Seat 5: dizzy552005 ($37.80 in chips)
Seat 6: drmaligno ($29.95 in chips)
Seat 7: fool#13 ($24.65 in chips)
Seat 8: Zejj ($27.55 in chips)
Seat 9: Bippo Costa ($28.95 in chips)
Blut3ngel: posts small blind $0.10
Captain M6: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to fool#13 [Ks] [Ad]
Mich22: folds
dizzy552005: calls $0.25
drmaligno: raises $1 to $1.25
fool#13: calls $1.25
Zejj: folds
Bippo Costa: folds
Blut3ngel: folds
Captain M6: folds
dizzy552005: calls $1
*** FLOP *** [Qc] [Ac] [As]
Captain M6 leaves the table
dizzy552005: checks
drmaligno: checks
bombertime joins the table at seat #3
fool#13: bets $1.75
dizzy552005: folds
drmaligno: calls $1.75
*** TURN *** [Qc] [Ac] [As] [3c]
drmaligno: checks
fool#13: checks
*** RIVER *** [Qc] [Ac] [As] [3c] [9s]
drmaligno: bets $26.95 and is all-in
Fool ??????????????
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Postby Xaston » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:05 pm

Turbo-Muck
Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby oatmealforxmas » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:05 pm

I fold. In my experience at 25NL, overbets (esp. river overbets) generally = the nuts trying to look like a bluff. I would guess QQ or maybe AQ here. You have a tight, relatively aggressive opponent who doesnt CB the flop here, which is kinda fishy to me. This whole hand looks like a monster to me, but I hope I am wrong for your sake. I'm very curious about what other folks have to say.
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Postby k3nt » Sun Mar 11, 2007 5:30 pm

So the opponent went raise 5x, chk/call a weak bet, chk, push. That's a monster almost all the time. Strong preflop then slowplay 2 streets then push = flopped monster.
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Postby piersmajestyk » Sun Mar 11, 2007 7:02 pm

Yeah I donked this one up on the river. I very rarely get myself screwed like this particularly when I am in the flow of things but for whatever reason I just lost my senses here and called and he showed one of the two hands that was quite obvious that he would have there.
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Postby Alchemist » Sun Mar 11, 2007 7:16 pm

Fold. The only hands in his range that you beat and makes sense on that board is AJ mostly and AT a small %age. You'll see AQ and QQ a lot, A9 and 99 possible here as well.

Anybody else bet the turn here or just me?
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Postby Zmej » Mon Mar 12, 2007 7:04 am

Easy fold. I would bet turn very often.
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Postby Rhound50 » Mon Mar 12, 2007 12:54 pm

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