by Aisthesis » Thu Apr 26, 2007 7:47 am
Hmmmm...
It seems like every time I try that, I get into big trouble. Over the past couple of years, I've had a few losing months, and I think ALL of them were due to trying too many plays of this sort.
Also about a week ago: I have A7o and limp in CO. Flop comes Q72. Loose player who routinely raises any PP bets pot from UTG+1. I raise. He re-raises, and I fold (obviously, I think). Ok, this isn't huge, but the $80 or so loss was unnecessary and is actually pretty noticeable in terms of overall win-rates.
However, most of the tight 2/5ers with some game are indeed picking up some pots on junk raises and stuff like that. I just fall flat, it seems, every time I try it. True, there are some exceptions, but I really don't think the money I've made doing that compensates for the money I've lost doing it.
I just seem to do it a lot at bad times.
What hand ranges do in any case is give you some fixed percentages. I do think the SC raise (not always) is good in this game and debatably on some PPs (on both, I like percentages rather than an always).
On the 87o guy, ok, I sensed weakness and didn't put him on that specific hand--but I was wrong. I also didn't quite realize his raising range. If he had a hand at all, I at that point would have expected more KQ-ish, possibly a split pot with another AK.
Bottom line on the "don't play the cards" suggestion: I just don't think I'm ready for it right now. I need to be able to put them on hands more accurately in order to do that.
I definitely do think expanding the re-raise range is a good idea specifically against loose raisers. If they have a hand capable of calling, I need to have a decent range of boards that I hit (like on the KQT board, I definitely call with KK or QQ after re-raising, but I can't call with AA).
Here's another possible re-raise strategy against the loose raiser (assuming I don't know if he's weak or strong): Re-raise fairly sizeably always on AA-KK and AKs and 1/12 of the time on 99-QQ as well as any SC and AKo (I get the 1/12 simply because I do the randomization with my watch).
To ice: I appreciate the kind words, and I do think bad luck is part of it. But I also think it's time for a more aggro and refined re-raise strategy.
And I guess back to Kenny's suggestion: I think this depends on more reads than I currently have. Harrington thinks 18% TAG is just "correct" for cash games (and that's pretty much what I'm playing), and even Negreanu, according to his book, is about where I'm at.
Here's a read I'm working on anyway: Suppose the $15 (or $50) raise just means medium PP (there are a couple of players where this is close to a definite, although almost all mix it up some) from a particular regular. How do you play what here? Sure, you can re-raise every time if you want and they theoretically can't call, but I don't think that's going to be viable in the long run. Moreover, you have the rest of the table to deal with.