by DaveRed » Tue May 08, 2007 5:17 pm
Another thing that would help is CB Fold Percent (I know you got that on PaHUD). Assuming either of them were 80%+ I just straight fold.
Anyway, assuming no info on CB Fold.
Hand 1: Villian makes it 5x then calls a reraise, assuming hes a solid player we can assume TT,JJ,QQ,KK,AKs,AQs (maybe). Is he minraising TT? No, thats a pretty standard fold. JJ/KK...maybe, lot of draws and hes putting in about 1/3 of his stack (so hes pretty committed), QQ, nah hes probably folding that too. Only 2 hands I could see him doing this with that you're ahead of is AQss (slightly ahead), maaaaaybe AK (you're way ahead).
So of the realistic hands hes doing this you're only really ahead of AK (which he probably slows down if you call, and fold if you push) ...or a random bluff, in which case you're not getting any more money out of him.
I muck this one.
Hand 2, probably only hand you're worried about here is JJ. (I guess 77,33, but less likely to be raising at 22/7 from MP). Any reraise you're completely committing yourself, and youre scaring off QQ,KK (which are the two hands you're ahead of and DONT wanna scare off). I call the minraise, let him hang himself on the turn (I assume he's just gonna push here...if not I fire ~$150). If he's got JJ, ah well, but I'm willing to take that chance. No real draws he could have, so not worried about giving him a free card (but a turn K would be pretty sick..).
P.S. Ship that GPS.