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Standard variance or Spewing? 200$NL 6max - Live Poker Forums

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Standard variance or Spewing? 200$NL 6max

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Standard variance or Spewing? 200$NL 6max

Postby gsdavid » Sun May 13, 2007 3:27 pm

Preflop: I have 200$ and villain has me covered. He is running at
25/12/5. I am pegged as a light 3 bettor and most players are willing to play back at me even in reraised pots with smaller PP's since i might not have much..anyhow
Its folded to villain in OTB who raises to 8$. I reraise him to 28$ with [Ah] [Qs] and he just calls after some thinking.
Flop: [Ts] [7c][Qd] Pot:58$ I decide to lead 42$ and he immediately raises to 100$. I have 131$ behind and i decide to push. Thoughts? I have no reads on his play in reraised pots. Thoughts?

hand 2:
Preflop: Villian has 123$ and I have him covered. I have no reads on him. He is in CO and raises to 4$. I decide just to call in Sb with [Ah] [Qd] since i have no reads on him.

Flop: [Qc] [Jh] [5d] Pot: 10$. I check he bets 4$ and i decide to CR to 10$ since there are not too many draws out there. Turn [2s] Pot 30$ I decide to VB to 15$ and he just calls.
River: [4h] pot 60$ I decide to bet 35$ and he quickly pushes for remaining 95$. I call. Thoughts?
Last edited by gsdavid on Sun May 13, 2007 3:54 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Postby paulee » Sun May 13, 2007 3:47 pm

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Postby Tatarana » Sun May 13, 2007 5:51 pm

Hand 1 : His bet size is strange and I think that he may hold a good hand more than usual here. It seems like he didnt want to miniraise you ( what may be correct given your stack size). Due to his position you cant narrow the hand canditates enough to make a good decision. I may fold this but I would probably call him down and make a note about his betting sizeing. I dont know if its better EV just call him PF and play the turn but I think it is.

Hand 2 : I think we cant play like this agaisnt someone we dont have reads on ,we need to put more pressure on him. The result is always a difficult river situation. One would need a very loose CS to play like this and I would fold to his river bet unless if I had saw him blluff the river before.
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Postby iceman5 » Mon May 14, 2007 9:16 am

#1) FIne

#2) I dont like your line that much, but as played i think its an easy river fold.
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Postby gsdavid » Mon May 14, 2007 10:07 am

in both hands they had QQ for sets..In hand 1 I guess i must accept misplays and variance since if Im willing to reriase AQo from blinds I must be willing to stack off to on Qxx flop since that is one of best flops(better than Axx)..it is unfortunate that this one was fairly draw free and villains here can easly have AA KK and QQ ..problem is that here im often WA/ WB and its kinds hard to know that after the flop bet

hand 2 was a really bad call..i thought since he is a shortstack he might push with KQ or AJ but his push is such a overbet that im not ahead there enough times to make that call..Up to his push i was thinking that i was milking him...
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