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Postby MTPaid » Sun Aug 05, 2007 10:28 pm

Fuckin MTT's lol......fold 1st 15 hands. Try to make a steal from the BB on T22 flop cause it looks safe enough. Only 2 players in the pot have T3s and T8s.
Fold another 15 hands. JJ in BB. Min-raise, 2 callers, I push. Min-raiser folds, 1st caller flips over QQ. Who the fuck just calls a min-raise with QQ? I can't even win a hand in these damn things anymore, nevermind cash.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
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Postby MTPaid » Wed Aug 08, 2007 9:19 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Aug 09, 2007 1:11 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Aug 09, 2007 9:23 pm

Help! Mugging at the $25 NL 6-max Full Tilt Tables

So at first, my laziness and decision not to go to AC looked like it was going to turn out to be a great decision. I picked up a little over 2.5 stacks in the hour I would have spent on the bus playing $25NL 6-max at Full Tilt.

Then I sat down for a night session about an hour and a half ago.
2nd hand in, I get dealt [Ks][Kd] on the second hand. See:
forum/viewtopic.php?t=26520

Then on the 7th hand, I get dealt [Ks][Kh]. See same thread.

Then a few hands later I catch [Qd][Td] in BB and flop an OESF/RFD [4h][Jd][Kd] in a blind vs blind battle. I raise the flop, then get c/r'ed all-in on the turn [8h] and call. SB has [Ks][Js] for 2 pair and holds up.

This is all within 38 hands. So then I also tilt off with 99 on a 6-hi flop where I was the OTB PFRer vs JJ in the SB.

Took me about 20 minutes to drop everything I made this afternoon + another 1/2 stack.

Brag: I've been dealt AA 26x so far in 4,586 hands at 6-max. I've won an astouding 96% of them, just 1 loss
Beat: I've had KK 23x and run it into AA 3x. I've also run it into AJ 2x and lost big. Once all-in preflop and he flopped trip Aces, other time he called a re-raise preflop and a flop bet with air and hit running trip Aces.
Variance: The rest of my life....or maybe that's just another beat.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Fri Aug 10, 2007 2:18 am

MTT drought came to end tonight. Modest win, but I'll take it.
Image
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Fri Aug 10, 2007 4:07 pm

How strange is this?

5,348 hands of 6-max so far. The 2 PP's I've been dealt the most:
AA - 32x Win 96.88% +$131.25 +8.2 BB/Hand
KK - 28x Win 64.29% -$56.35 -4.03 BB/Hand

I've run KK into AA 3x, but not AA into KK once.
I've run into another KK once.
Of the 13 times I've seen a flop with KK, I've won only 7 of them.
Of the last 9 flops, an Aces has hit the board 7x.
Of the 7x I've won when seeing a flop, 3x I've needed a set.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Sun Aug 12, 2007 5:03 pm

I don't know whether I've run insanely good this week or what (when I'm not dealt KK that is), but how about +40..53 BB/100 over 3K hands played at $25NL 6-max. (I'm at +21.27 BB/100 over my 1st 6K hands total at 6-max)

Or +$35.46 per hour while 3-tabling $25NL 6-max this week. I wonder if that's sustainable.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Mon Aug 13, 2007 7:07 pm

I'm an idiot for publicly posting how well I was running. Of course that's just asking for it, so today was almost the disaster session. I was out-flopped and out-rivered, I was out-straighted and out-flushed. I flopped no sets and hit 2 flushes (flush over flushed and board paired on the end) and lost both. I was raised, re-raised, check-raised, and pushed all-in on more often than I can ever remember. More importantly though, I didn't tilt and was able to turn a 3 stack deficit into a little less than 2 stacks in the end. I seem to find it easier not tilting at 6-max because there's another hand a split second later. There's less time to think about it. I'm playing so many more hands that it's easier to convince myself that I'll have plenty of opportunities to make it back.

Now I'm going to say something that would probably put the NL forum in an uproar. I've found that the key to a lot of my profits in the $25NL 6-max games (maybe this is only Full Tilt) is selective passivity. Now this isn't set in stone and can differ from table to table and opponent to opponent, but I have found that for the most part, if I bet strongly they fold. However, if I check, they will bet. So when I want them to fold, I'll usually bet or raise, but if I think I'm far enough ahead (unless there are strong draws on the board) I'll check. They will almost always accomodate me with a decent sized bet when they would otherwise fold to a bet or raise. I mean I am getting potted 3x by bottom pair when I check sometimes. Occasionally by even less.

Again, and maybe even mostly, on the river it's been the same thing. I'll check and they will fire out a healthy bet with a second best hand or complete bluff most of the time when they may have folded to any sizable bet on my part.

I remember reading a few months back, I don't exactly remember where, that with everyone being taught and applying aggressive, aggressive, aggressive, that selective passivity will become the most profitable style in the near future. From what I've experienced, at least at 6-max so far, I don't necessarily disagree.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Wed Aug 15, 2007 12:37 am

Narrowly missed my 2nd small MTT win in a week. Went into the final table of a $8.80 180 man SNG as the chip leader, but a middle stack just caught fire and eliminated most of the table in 12 hands.

1 - With 7 left, he open raised from CO, SB pushed, I folded [Kd][Qh] in BB
CO called and showed [Ac][Qc]
SB showed [Ad][Kh]
Good fold you say?
[6h][Ks][4c][Qd][Qs]
I would have taken out the 2nd and 4th stacks at the table and won it right there.

2 - 4 hands later he takes out another player all-in preflop with AQ vs AJ.

3 - 5 hands later he hits a boat with J3 out of the BB to eliminate another player and then tells about how great a short hand player he his. Huh?

4 - After the last hand he just decided to push in the next 3 hands consecutively. On the 3rd hand I called from the BB with KQ and lost to his A5. Only 2 pair for him this time though.

The only other poker for the last day was another MTT which I also cashed in, just barely making the bubble. My exit hand was also KQ in that one.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Thu Aug 16, 2007 9:57 pm

Moved back up to $50FR the other day. Nothing against 6-max, just don't think I have anything more to benefit from it. I'm hoping to make a few hundred at $50FR which will make me more comfortable playing $50 6-max.

Up 3 stacks in 824 hands back at FR so far. Only a couple of interesting hands below:

1 - [As][9s] UTG+2 with a full stack (9 handed) - I'm fairly new to the table
I open limp, MP1 min-raises to $1 ($13.25 behind), MP2 calls (full stack), BB calls, I call
[Ks][6s][8s] Pot $4.25
Oh yeah, tough one....you flopped the effin nuts! But seriously, how do I get the most out of it? I think leading would scare off the other players because most min-PFR's are not monsters. They are usually medium PP's or suited connectors in FR. Since the PFRer was directly behind me, I checked.
UTG+2 bets $2.50, MP1 raises to $14.50
Now this is interesting. Do I push now? Or do I wait until the turn?

Positives of pushing now:
It could look like I'm on a draw with maybe [As] and a pair.
Another spade could scare MP1 off.
Positives of pushing on the turn:
If the board doesn't pair I may be able to get it in as an even bigger favorite.
I run the risk of scaring MP1 off if I push right away.

I ended up pushing right away and MP1 called with [8c][6c] which I found interesting. I think you have to fold that, no?

2 - [Ad][Qd] MP2 w/ a full stack
UTG+1 ($40)(17/13/25 over 50 hands) limps, I raise to $2.25, UTG+1 re-raises to $8, I call getting about 2 to 1. (He could have KK/QQ)
[As][7c][Kd] Pot $16
UTG+2 bets $10, I call. Re-evaluate turn. If he fires again what can I beat?
[Tc] Pot $36.75
UTG+2 bets $12
I think about it, but fold. I figure he'd give up with QQ. Everything else beats me. Small bet was enticing, but would he really bet again, committing himself with QQ?
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Fri Aug 17, 2007 9:49 pm

Things That Are Tilting Me Today:

- How I am consistantly being dealt the same hole cards at multiple tables at the same time. I've posted in my blog about it, I've asked about it in the odds forum, and yet it still continues to occur an average of once per orbit. It seems to be even more frequent than that if I am in the same position on 2 seperate tables. (Example: MP1 at 2 tables at the same time, pocket 4's. UTG at 2 tables, pocket 5's.) I don't know why, but this is starting to tilt me even when I'm winning.

- How the vast majority of players in my $50NL database with VP$IP's over 40% CONTINUE to be big winners. I have begun to try to avoid them altogether because god forbig you flop top pair against them. You're a dead man. Overpair, even worse.

- How I thought I was so brilliant to fold JJ preflop and find out I was up against QQ vs a short stack when someone else called with AQ, but then just a few hands later I happen to run JJ into KK with an overpair to the board vs a big stack. Strangely and thankfully, he never raised me. Just called my raise preflop, called flop and turn with small cards on board and checked a Q on the river behind that made a flush possible on the river.

- Every additional detail I hear in the Michael Vick case. And to make it even worse, people are saying that the cruelty doesn't even have much to do with whether he'd ever play in the NFL again as they're more concerned with the gambling. Yet the NFL seems so concerned about our morals that they are enlisting the support of influential Christian groups to lobby against Barney Frank and squash our right to play poker. Fucking phony NFL! I dare you to catch me watching an NFL game this year.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Sun Aug 19, 2007 4:50 pm

Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:58 pm

Still have NOT figured out how to play profitably against a maniac. Let's take a look at a series of hands tonight vs a certifiable (72/44/25). He had frequently gone all-in after the flop and the only reason his WTSD wasn't higher was because everyone folded. Yet, he was still showing a profit as most nutcases do in my database.

Hand 1 - [As][Kc] OTB - 7 handed
BB - $50.75 (only his 3rd hand)
ME - $46.90

I open for $2, BB calls
[7h][3c][6d] Pot $4.25
BB checks, I bet $3.50, BB raises to $9.50, I re-raise to $25, BB calls
Next 2 cards [6s][9s] and it gets checked down. BB has [Ah][7s]

OK - make a note that he can't fold top pair (7) vs preflop and flop aggression.
Total: -$27

Hand 2 - [Ad][Ac] MP1 - 8 handed
ME - $50
CO - $92.55 (72/44/25 - now I know he's nuts)

I open-limp, he raises to $2.25, all else fold, I re-raise to $7.50, he calls.
[Ts][5d][8h] Pot $15.75
I bet $10, he pushes for $85.05, I insta-call. He shows [8c][4c] and whiffs.

I finally found a hand I could beat a nutcase with.
Total: +$20.75

Hand 3 - [Ks][Qh] CO
SB - $108.15 (33/10/25)
BB - $56.50 (72/44/25 - still nuts)
ME - $91.25

Folded to me. I can't limp here. I raise to $2 and hope to flop top pair because I know I'm gonna end up playing for my stack.
SB calls, BB re-raises to $8, I call, SB calls.
[7d][Ah][3h] Pot $24
SB checks, BB bets $10, I have to fold :x

Total: +$12.75

Hand 4 - [Ah][Qc] UTG+2 - 9 handed
Me - $81.75
MP1 - $21.75 (55/8/26)
CO - $70.45 (72/44/25 - insanity has helped him grow his stack again)
SB - $46.25 (18/3/10 - rockish over 1K+ hands)

I open-limp, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, CO raises to $3.25, SB calls, I call (I thought about pushing here, but with such a big stack I wanted to catch first since I knew he'd still play if I caught an Ace. Right now he's ahead of me with any pocket pair.), MP1 calls, MP2 folds
[4h][As][6c] Pot $14
SB checks, I'm doing jumping jacks and check (I figure it would be just my luck if SB check-raised him with a set), MP1 checks, CO bets $7.50, SB folds, I just call planning on c/r'ing all-in on the turn, MP1 pushes for $18.50, CO folds :evil: :evil: :evil:
MP1 has a set [6d][6c]. Seems about right. Get your VP$IP up over 50 and you'll be fine.

Total: -$9 in 4 run-ins vs the maniac w/ AK, AA, KQ, and AQ.

On a more solid note, I continue to slaughter the tight players.

So now, just for August so far, players with over 40% VP$IP and 50+ hands:
9 Winners - 5 Losers

Entire $50 FR Database over 29.9K hands, only those with 90+ hands:
20 Winners - 10 Losers

Somebody please explain this to me because I've been looking for an answer to this phenomenon for months and can't figure it out.

Also interesing, after close to 30K hands, the hands that have been more profitable (in terms of avg and BB/hand) than AKo include: K7s, 55, T9s, 96s, T7s, T3s, J8s, KJs, A6s, ATo, A3s, 66, A9s, K9s, A7s, 97s, and of course some medium to large PP's.
Strangely enough 97s is my 2nd most profitable hand next to AA.

In terms of net profit: AA, JJ, 97s, 88, KK, QQ, TT, ATo, 77, A7s, 99, AKs, and 66 are all better than AKo.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Postby MTPaid » Tue Aug 21, 2007 5:57 pm

Ah.....we're back to this shit again:
http://www.pokerhand.org/?1396482
Lovely 2 outter. Opponents excuse for pushing - "I've been hitting all day"

Thankfully I was able to get a big stack AI preflop in an AA vs AKs situation. Flopped a set of Aces and barely held off the runner-runner flush.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
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Posts: 3681
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Location: New Jersey

Postby MTPaid » Tue Aug 21, 2007 9:16 pm

Did I Just Go On Winner's Tilt?
Christ! How's this for a gut-sinking feeling:
Up over 2 stacks in the first 41 hands of the session.
[Kc][6c] MP2 - open-raise to $2, CO, SB, BB all call. They are ALL TAGS!
[7c][6s][Qc] Pot $8
SB checks, BB bets $7.50 (I know this guy leads with monsters), I call, CO folds, SB folds
BB has about 250BB, I started with 100BB
[4c] Pot $23
BB checks, I bet $21.50, BB c/r all-in, I call
BB [7h][7d] River [Ts]
+$50.95


Same table: [As][Ks] CO w/ $100
MP1 is all-in for $3, MP2 calls $3 (no read $51.75 behind), I re-raise to $12.75, MP2 calls :shock:
[Ac][9d][Jd] Pot $29.25
MP2 checks, I'm all-in for $86.40 - Please don't have a set, please don't have a set, please don't have a set - MP2 calls..............with [Qh][Jh] :shock: :shock: :shock:
Shortie had pocket 4's. I hold. :D :D :D


Then drop 2.5 stacks over the next 75:
[Ac][9c] CO w/ $145.65 - Same table
2 limpers, I limp, SB (26/9/11 - $55) calls, BB checks
[Ah][Jc][9d] Pot $2.50
SB bets $2, BB folds, limper calls $2, limper folds, I raise to $7, SB is immediately all-in for $54.10 - for my thoughts see this thread
forum/viewtopic.php?p=260637#260637


[Js][Td] CO w/ $59.60 - different table
I open-raise to $2, OTB (13/3/32 - $72) calls
[2s][Jc][Ad] Pot $4.75
I bet $3.50, OTB min-raises to $7
My read on him is that he doesn't play many hands, but he has difficulty folding when he does play. Therefore he is likely to take TPTK (AK/AQ) too far here. I call hoping for a J or T.
[Tc] Pot $18.75
I check, OTB bets $18.75.
WTF??? He would have re-raised with AA. Wouldn't he have re-raised a CO open-raise with JJ too??? 13/3/32????
FUCK! I c/r all-in and he has the set of Jacks. Bad reasoning or bad luck that I hit the case Jack and then 2 pair on the turn drawing dead. He had 3 outs to stack me and he hit it.
Statler: I wonder if there really is life on other planets?
Waldorf: What do you care? You don't have a life on this planet.
"Muppets In Space"

The Blog: http://lazyguy.squarespace.com

"Full Tilt is rigged" - ED
User avatar
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Posts: 3681
Joined: Mon Aug 01, 2005 10:42 am
Location: New Jersey

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