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Good Bluff or spew?

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Good Bluff or spew?

Postby Twelver » Sun Dec 02, 2007 7:58 pm

Villan is a decent reg:

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) Courtesy of

CO ($640.80)
Button ($74)
SB ($864.80)
BB ($568.10)
UTG ($382)
Hero ($434)

Preflop: Hero is MP with [Ts], [Tc].
1 fold, Hero raises to $14, 2 folds, SB calls $12, 1 fold.

Flop: ($32) [8h], [As], [3d] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $24, SB calls $24.

Turn: ($80) [Kc] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($80) [Kd] (2 players)
SB bets $66, Hero raises to $175
Mekos King (10:21:59 PM): one of the first rules of manlaw
Mekos King (10:22:06 PM): is never ever try to suck backup to a bitch
Mekos King (10:22:09 PM): who caught u cheatin
Mekos King (10:22:23 PM): unless your married and would lose like money inna divorce
Mekos King (10:22:33 PM): then u suckup just long enuf to get close enough to killer obv

Heat517163 (5:05:37 PM): black people man
Heat517163 (5:05:40 PM): they travel in packs
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Postby kennyg » Sun Dec 02, 2007 10:05 pm

"I'll take KennyGs advice before Sklanskys every time. "
-Iceman

Proud contributing member of the Poker Player's Alliance.
Poker Journal:
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Postby Xaston » Sun Dec 02, 2007 10:59 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby gsdavid » Mon Dec 03, 2007 1:46 am

I don't see what hand he can have besides 88 33 or AQ unless he is bluffing river. I cant see what he bets river there. I mean he expects you to call with 8x??
I wouldn't be surprised to either see bluff or set that planned to CR you on turn.
But you say that he is a decent reg..So a decent reg should not have Ax there often. Maybe 10% of the time is he is trying to mix up his game by cold calling AK AQ for shania and such. Just as to have wider hand range.
And i cant see him having Kx there...Unless he is floating flop with no outs.
Actually a decent opponent should have set there almost always given the action. I'm sure that many of you will disagree with me but I guess that you raise in MP A7s+ ATo+? and all PP's? Given that I will have Ax or set there over 40% of time and will double barrel enough to make sure that floating with pocket pairs will not be profitable. Then If he actually cold called a strong ace and such 2 turns came i guess that he would try to get to cheap showdown unless he thinks that you are total donk and will call him light.
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Postby Cooper » Mon Dec 03, 2007 1:56 am

I agree with gsdavid about that he should have a decent A there. I'm not sure about the set alternatives, it is possible his intention is to get you to bet your A on turn so he can CR his set. Anyway I think its a bad line to take with a set because against a good player I would check turn behind wtih TPTK often enough on this board.

I think I like the river bet, he should fold his A, medium PP etc often enough to be EV+.
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Postby Twelver » Mon Dec 03, 2007 12:26 pm

Mekos King (10:21:59 PM): one of the first rules of manlaw
Mekos King (10:22:06 PM): is never ever try to suck backup to a bitch
Mekos King (10:22:09 PM): who caught u cheatin
Mekos King (10:22:23 PM): unless your married and would lose like money inna divorce
Mekos King (10:22:33 PM): then u suckup just long enuf to get close enough to killer obv

Heat517163 (5:05:37 PM): black people man
Heat517163 (5:05:40 PM): they travel in packs
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Twelver
 
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Postby Xaston » Mon Dec 03, 2007 1:07 pm

Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.
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Postby Twelver » Mon Dec 03, 2007 3:20 pm

Mekos King (10:21:59 PM): one of the first rules of manlaw
Mekos King (10:22:06 PM): is never ever try to suck backup to a bitch
Mekos King (10:22:09 PM): who caught u cheatin
Mekos King (10:22:23 PM): unless your married and would lose like money inna divorce
Mekos King (10:22:33 PM): then u suckup just long enuf to get close enough to killer obv

Heat517163 (5:05:37 PM): black people man
Heat517163 (5:05:40 PM): they travel in packs
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Twelver
 
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Location: Atlanta


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