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Turn check raise against probable bluff - Live Poker Forums

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Turn check raise against probable bluff

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Turn check raise against probable bluff

Postby Chips->Middle » Wed Jan 30, 2008 1:02 pm

This hand is against the same guy that is raising into 90+% of hands from the previous thread



It's the next day and he hasn't got going yet. I think I folded him out of one hand coming over the top of a continuation bet. I've watched him play across 2 or 3 sessions now and his post flop play is much more calculated than it looks. He's got balls of steel and will bluff for large amounts at the drop of a hat but he isn't mindlessly betting and raising and he can get away from a hand when he wants to. Or so I thought...


PL $0.10/$0.20 Omaha
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of active players : 6

Stack Sizes
Seat 1: Seat: 1 ($20)
Seat 2: Seat: 2 ($10.51)
Seat 3: Chips->Middle ($26.92)
Seat 4: Seat: 4 ($40.50)
Seat 5: Seat: 5 ($17.80)
Seat 6: Seat: 6 ($23.06)

Chips->Middle posts small blind [$0.10] , Seat: 4 posts big blind [$0.20] , Seat: 1 posts big blind [$0.20]

Dealing down cards
Chips->Middle has been dealt [Qh] [Ac] [Tc] [8s]
Seat: 5 raises to [$0.90] , Seat: 6 folds , Seat: 1 calls [$0.70] , Seat: 2 folds , Chips->Middle calls [$0.80] , Seat: 4 calls [$0.70]

Dealing Flop: [4c] [Js] [Qs] : : Pot: 3.60
Chips->Middle checks , Seat: 4 checks , Seat: 5 checks , Seat: 1 checks

Dealing Turn: [5h] : : Pot: 3.60
Chips->Middle checks , Seat: 4 checks , Seat: 5 bets [$3.60] , Seat: 1 folds , Chips->Middle raises to [$14.40] , Seat: 4 folds , Seat: 5 goes all-in , Seat: 5 raises to [$16.90] , Chips->Middle calls [$2.50]

I have awful position here with 4 of us in the pot on the flop I decide not to bet. A bluff here is just too likely to get raised, or at least called by straight or flush draws.

On the turn, the 5h hasn't helped anyone to a hand that scares me significantly, my position is still crap and I have a sneaky suspicion that the guy in Seat 5 will bet out light if shown weakness. He does and by the time it gets back to me I am willing to gamble that the guy in Seat 4 has nothing and the guy in Seat 5 has nothing much. I expect the raise to fold him and am surprised when he wants to play.

I think I'm in decent enough shape to make this play here. Anyone else?
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Postby JDLush » Wed Jan 30, 2008 2:10 pm

Last edited by JDLush on Thu Jan 31, 2008 7:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby emmasdad » Wed Jan 30, 2008 2:57 pm

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:22 pm

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby emmasdad » Wed Jan 30, 2008 5:25 pm

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