So I was running downward towards even for the month 2 days ago when I had the following sessions over a 24 hours span...
NL 30BB Cap +$56.05
PLO8 +$58.40
NL 30BB Cap +$56.70
Followed by these sessions.....
Limit HE -$66.50
PLO8 -$42.85
NL 30BB Cap -$149.50
I am now just about even for the month again after being up about $300 for the month yesterday.
My standard deviation in the NL 30BB Capped .25/.50 blind game is ±52.56. My standard deviation on every single Full Tilt game is light years beyond any other game on any other site. God couldn't convince me that there wasn't something going on here to generate rake in the low limit games.
Here's my updated EV graph for the NL 30BB Capped game.
One absolutely amazing player today ran 57/29 over 140+ hands and always had the best hand by showdown
+101.71 BB/100. He had winning stats from every position.
As a matter of fact he was 82/40 from the SB and re-raised just about every time there was a raise, usually from my playing a 16/8 game. So I just had it and decided to start shoving in when he did that. You might think that someone playing every single hand and raising and re-raising half of them might NOT have a hand occasionally. Not of Full Tilt.......
I raise AJo CO.....82/40 re-raises from SB. I push. He has QQ.
I raise KQo CO....82/40 re-raises from SB. I push. He has AQ.
I raise QJs MP.....he calls OTB. I check it down and call his river bet on 663TJ board. He has K5s for the flush. Some might think I should bet top pair on the river. Not on this site against lucky players.
I raise 66 CO.....82/40 re-raises from SB. I push. He has JJ.
I make a large raise 99 OTB after 2 limpers.....he calls BB. Flop 4QJ and he check-raises all-in.
Those are the last 5 hands I raised against him.
Here's a look at the 6 players in this game with over 70 hands and VP$IP 50+.....
Some other gems today......
AK < 88 all-in preflop.
-----------
Call off 25% of your stack with Q8s and ye shall be rewarded....
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($40.90)
UTG+1 (
$48.50)
CO (
$22.85)
BTN ($43.30)
Hero ($32.95)
BB (
$7.55)
Pre-flop: (
$0.75, 6 players)
Hero is SB [Jh]
UTG calls $0.5 ($40.40),
2 folds, BTN calls $0.5 ($42.80),
Hero raises to $3.5 ($29.20),
1 fold,
UTG folds ($40.40), BTN calls $3 ($39.80)
32.00% (EV = -$0.94)
68.00% (EV = $1.94)
Flop: [6c][3s] (
$8, 2 players)
Hero bets $5 ($24.45),
BTN raises to $11.5 ($28.30), Hero calls $6.5 ($17.95)
92.00% (EV = $17.02)
8.00% (EV = -$9.02)
Turn: (
$31, 2 players)
95.50% (EV = $29.61)
4.50% (EV = $1.40)
River: (
$31, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $31.00)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
Final Pot: $31
BTN shows:
[8s]
Hero shows:
[Jh]
BTN wins $29.45 ( won +$14.45 )
Hero lost -$15.00
UTG lost -$0.50
------------------
AJ < AT in a blind vs blind battle. Raised and re-raised preflop.
-----------------
Another one, 68/8. Top 2 pair KJ < flush 64s on the turn. Play every hand and win every hand.
----------------
Again, 60/16 get it in way behind.....
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at
Stacks:
Hero ($32.90)
UTG+1 ($20.50)
CO (
$38.90)
BTN (
$17.45)
SB (
$56.90)
BB ($23.70)
Pre-flop: (
$0.75, 6 players)
Hero is UTG [Qs]
Hero calls $0.5 ($32.40),
UTG+1 raises to $1 ($19.50),
3 folds, BB calls $0.5 ($22.70),
Hero raises to $15 ($17.40), UTG+1 calls $14 ($5.50),
BB folds ($22.70)
69.60% (EV = $6.75)
30.40% (EV = -$5.50)
Flop: [2s][8c] (
$31.25, 2 players)
84.80% (EV = $26.50)
15.20% (EV = $4.75)
Turn: (
$31.25, 2 players)
88.60% (EV = $27.69)
11.40% (EV = $3.56)
River: (
$31.25, 2 players)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
100.00% (EV = $31.25)
Final Pot: $31.25
Hero shows:
[Qs]
UTG+1 shows:
[Qd]
UTG+1 wins $29.7 ( won +$14.7 )
BB lost -$1.00
Hero lost -$15.00
---------------------
4-handed, any chance Mr. open-raiser on the button misses this flop? No way! Not only does he not miss, but he conveniently has one of the worst hands for me.
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG (
$30.55)
CO (
$51.40)
BTN ($25.60)
SB (
$47.15)
Hero ($33.35)
Pre-flop: (
$0.75, 5 players)
Hero is BB [9h]
2 folds,
BTN raises to $2 ($23.60),
1 fold, Hero calls $1.5 ($31.35)
32.80% (EV = -$0.61)
67.20% (EV = $0.86)
Flop: [7c][6h] (
$4.25, 2 players)
Hero checks ($31.35),
BTN bets $4.25 ($19.35),
Hero raises to $13 ($18.35), BTN calls $8.75 ($10.60)
69.60% (EV = $8.05)
30.40% (EV = -$3.80)
Turn: (
$30.25, 2 players)
84.10% (EV = $25.44)
15.90% (EV = $4.81)
River: (
$30.25, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $30.25)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
Final Pot: $30.25
BTN shows:
[Td]
Hero shows:
[9h]
BTN wins $28.75 ( won +$13.75 )
Hero lost -$15.00
--------------------
Here's where slowplaying against a chronic bluffer while having him dominated gets you....
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG ($44.50)
UTG+1 (
$33.10)
CO (
$28.80)
BTN (
$49.35)
SB ($23.65)
Hero ($38.45)
Pre-flop: (
$0.75, 6 players)
Hero is BB [9d]
UTG calls $0.5 ($44.00),
3 folds, SB calls $0.25 ($23.15), Hero checks ($37.95)
30.00% (EV = -$0.05)
70.00% (EV = $0.55)
Flop: [Ah][4c] (
$1.5, 3 players)
SB bets $1.5 ($21.65), Hero calls $1.5 ($36.45),
1 fold
19.50% (EV = -$0.62)
80.50% (EV = $2.12)
Turn: (
$4.5, 2 players)
SB bets $4.5 ($17.15),
Hero raises to $13 ($23.45), SB calls $8.5 ($8.65)
86.40% (EV = $13.35)
13.60% (EV = -$8.85)
River: (
$30.5, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $30.50)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
Final Pot: $30.50
SB shows:
[As]
Hero shows:
[9d]
SB wins $29 ( won +$14 )
Hero lost -$15.00
UTG lost -$0.50
------------------
QQ < KK
-----------------
What else is new....
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at
Stacks:
UTG (
$49.10)
UTG+1 ($49.75)
CO (
$171.30)
Hero ($26.25)
SB (
$38.50)
BB ($16.65)
Pre-flop: (
$0.75, 6 players)
Hero is BTN [Ks]
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.5 ($49.25),
1 fold,
Hero raises to $2.25 ($24.00),
1 fold, BB calls $1.75 ($14.40), UTG+1 calls $1.75 ($47.50)
52.80% (EV = $1.45)
47.20% (EV = $1.05)
Flop: [8s][Qs] (
$7, 3 players)
BB checks ($14.40), UTG+1 checks ($47.50),
Hero bets $5 ($19.00),
BB folds ($14.40), UTG+1 calls $5 ($42.50)
47.70% (EV = $3.11)
52.30% (EV = $3.89)
Turn: (
$17, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks ($42.50),
Hero bets $7.75 ($11.25), UTG+1 calls $7.75 ($34.75)
68.20% (EV = $14.42)
31.80% (EV = $2.58)
River: (
$32.5, 2 players)
100.00% (EV = $32.50)
0.00% (EV = $0.00)
Final Pot: $32.50
UTG+1 shows:
[9d]
Hero shows:
[Ks]
UTG+1 wins $30.9 ( won +$15.9 )
Hero lost -$15.00
BB lost -$2.25