by Xaston » Sun Feb 10, 2008 7:49 pm
I think the fact that this pot is so multiway is very relevant.
The guy who we are pretty sure is a TAG calls a raise and leads into 3 people. I just don't see a TAG calling a raise from the BB here and then leading out the the intentions of folding to a raise. As such I don't really think raising is as great as everybody else does.
I mean, he has sets, straights, and big draws. I sincerely doubt he is doing this with 77.
Someone with his stats prolly doesn't call pre flop, usually, with all that many suited hands, but with two others calling before him it probably opens up his pre flop range a little. Even still, hands like J8 of clubs which he likely calls pre flop because of the other callers, probably isn't leading the flop.
I like a call on the flop because I think this guys range is pretty fucking strong and I sure don't mind letting other people in with smaller clubs or something.
On the turn a board pairing flush hit and he's still leading, so he's prolly strong. Strong could include 7c8c though which we beat. And he definitely could/should still be betting his straights. Also it's not a particularly big bet, but it certainly sets him up nicely for a river shove so it still shows a decent amount of strength.
I would probably call again and call or value bet a brick river.
Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.