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NL50: Is this a set? AA hand - Live Poker Forums

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NL50: Is this a set? AA hand

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NL50: Is this a set? AA hand

Postby bdon22 » Sun Feb 17, 2008 4:09 pm

Villain is 15/12/inf over 41 hands, no real reads other than that. He has ironman and I've been pretty active on this table.

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at

Stacks:
UTG ($93.60)
UTG+1 ($52.00)
CO ($62.30)
Hero ($62.65)
SB ($48.25)
BB ($23.00)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 6 players) Hero is BTN [Ah][As]
UTG calls $0.5, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $2, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.75

Flop: [9d][8c][7s] ($7.25, 3 players)
SB bets $4.5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $14.5, SB calls $10

Turn: [7d] ($36.25, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: [4s] ($36.25, 2 players)
SB bets $13.5, Hero ???
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Postby DoctorHandles » Sun Feb 17, 2008 4:18 pm

I think I threw up in my mouth a little when I saw that turn check. His remaining stack is under the pot size, put him in.

I'm guessing you just posted this to see if you get called out on the turn rather than caring about your actual river line (I used to do that back in the day), so I'm not even gonna address the river.
The better player should win the race. Always.
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Postby Monkey » Sun Feb 17, 2008 4:56 pm

That's a good turn card for your hand. Any straight draws are still draws, 77 is now less likely, and you just counterfeited top 2pr. Given that he's got <pot left, put him in.

As played, that river changes nothing: call and expect to win most of the time.

If he did have a set, it's a valuable note that he will lead them.
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Postby johnnie_naked » Sun Feb 17, 2008 4:59 pm

I think he has a boat here sometimes, but I call
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Postby Danhdan » Sun Feb 17, 2008 5:08 pm

I don't 41 hands is enough information to go on. I think he could have a boat here, sure, but I think more likely he's going to showdown a missed draw, a straight(rarely), or a nine. But, we are getting almost 4-1 and there is little reason to think he always has a big hand here.

Call, and see what he shows up with here...oh, and win the pot.
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Postby black_knight6 » Sun Feb 17, 2008 6:31 pm

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Postby Jossnaz » Sun Feb 17, 2008 9:42 pm

Always bet on duke
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Postby shamdonk » Sun Feb 17, 2008 11:56 pm

Be glad your opponents refuse to fold; if they didn't, you just might go broke.


(9:00:09 PM) GodlikeRoy: i think you could prolly post total shit for the next 2 years aaaaand like 192 days and you'll still be considered 'posting good' cause of your threads that'll never be seen thread
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Postby Jossnaz » Tue Feb 19, 2008 5:00 am

Always bet on duke
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