by Kuso » Sat Jul 30, 2005 11:49 pm
Gooper,
I would drive the betting in the following seven cases:
1) Made low with only AA as high (i.e., no strong redraws for high).
2) Made low with redraw to the nut high.
3) Redraw to low (like you have here) and redraw to nut high (e.g., two hearts on the flop in this example).
4) Redraw to low with made nut high (e.g, three hearts on the flop).
5) A low draw and AA as high (like this hand) but with counterfeit protection (e.g., AA35 or AA36).
6) Trip aces with limited low draw potential (i.e., need four low cards on the board to even make a hand). I like to bet this aggressively because many lows draws got screwed by the A just like I did, but I've got the boss high.
7) An opponent who will lay down an unmade hand on the flop (i.e., not a calling station).
As I said in my previous post, I feel like your hand is very vulnerable as it stands. With just a tweak or two to the hand or the flop, it becomes very strong.
Also, when it comes to betting for fold equity, I have often found that small bets ($0.50) will get many people off their unmade hands on ragged boards or powerful boards (e.g., 999). If someone calls, then they hit a part of the board and/or have a nice draw.
Conversely, they often won't lay own even to aggressive flop and turn betting with something as weak as TP, overpair, or a weak 2pr. As such, I avoid what could be marginal +EV plays, as I often don't really know where I stand.
One different way to play this would be to bet $0.50 on the flop and $1.00 on the turn (and maybe even the river). If they have your AA beat, they will almost always come back at you on the turn or river, and you would be right to fold. I think that this is a lower variance semi-aggressive way to play this hand.
For the record, I try to be a low variance player ABC poker on Party 25 PLO8. People play some of the strangest hands in the strangest ways, so I feel like it is tough to get good reads on the fishies. I personally think the higher limits are better for attempting "plays" or pushing small +EV edges. Just my 2 cents.