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3000 Hands Results Less Than Expected

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3000 Hands Results Less Than Expected

Postby StarlightCoast » Thu Jul 28, 2005 6:15 pm

.50/$1 Limit at Poker Stars

Total Hands 3135
VP$P - 19.07
VP$SB - 41.25
Fold SB to Steal - 61.54
Folded BB to Steal - 51.85
Att. to Steal Blinds - 26.06
Won $ WSF% - 35.68
BB/100 Hands - 1.58
BB/Hr- 0.93
Went to SD% - 33.59
Won $ at SD - 56.20
PF Raise % - 7.15
SD- 14.6599bb/100 hands or 12.1797bb/hr
Post Flop AF- 1.73

Where do you see problems?

Now on the surface I think these numbers look like a pretty solid player. The Went to SD percentage I think is a bit high yet my W$atSD is well over 50%.
What's the problem?

While reading some old posts in a players blog where this person said:

According to a post by Mason Malmuth a good player, on the internet, should make 3BB/100 Hands.
the Standard Deviation for 60 Hands should be 12.5BB or 20.83BB/100 Hands


Even before I read this I was shooting for 3bb/100 hands. I always thought this was reasonable but my numbers are far below this. I decided to look at my hands on Poker Tracker using different filters and found the following:

Suited Connectors

Not counting AKs and KQs these hands are minus 18bb. I have had QJs dealt 10 times and NEVER won with them.

Other Notables

KJs dealt 9 times 22.2 win % minus 11bb

KTs dealt 7 times 28,57 win % minus 4.75bb

QTs dealt 11 times 27.27 win % minus 6bb

99 minus 13bb

Checking my position stats I see something that jumps out at me. The total profit is $49.50 but in the BB I am down an astonishing $73!!!

I have recently tightened up my starting hands. Look likes I need to go even further. needless to say suited connectors less than KQs are going to the muck pile. That was the one that shocked me the most. That and the losses I am taking in the BB.

Any comments or opinions are greatly appreciated.
So powerful and mighty the ocean be, yet it harbors the gentlest souls.
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Postby piersmajestyk » Thu Jul 28, 2005 7:11 pm

The majority of your stats look fine to me but a couple of things that stand out is your VIP% from the small blind with and without a steal. I think these are both MUCH too high. On the other hand I think you should loosen up in regard to your BB defense when heads up. You can find some more thoughts about this is some of my previous post in the limit section. I also posted about projecting earnings per table as well to give you a fairly good idea of where you are falling according to how many tables you are playing. Your 1.58 BB/100 is certainly nothing to be ashamed of and in my opinion the 3 BB/100 hand that was cited elsewhere is perhaps obtainable longterm but by very few players.

Your 19% VIP is probably on the high side as well. Those suited connectors are not worth much at all except when in late position with alot of limpers or as a blind steal. Anything else is just going to get you in trouble. Hope this helps some and if you have more specific questions fire away in the limit section and I am sure you will get some good advice from the boys. Continued good luck.
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