Good analysis. Here's an example of that idea in action, from yesterday; I got in (of course) a country mile ahead, though the absurd turn and river take the shine off the play a little!
***** Hand History for Game 1398278066 *****
$25 PL Hold'em - Thursday, January 06, 13:59:35 EDT 2005
Table Home of the blues (Real Money)
Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 8
Seat 2: MAN0085 ( $26.85 )
Seat 3: jesscam ( $0 )
Seat 4: wirewraps ( $24 )
Seat 5: yuharka ( $10 )
Seat 7: magic_maniac ( $44.65 )
Seat 8: Fel_Monk ( $23.5 )
Seat 9: heeroyuy ( $19.1 )
Seat 10: Midrack ( $63.7 )
MAN0085 posts small blind [$0.25].
wirewraps posts big blind [$0.5].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Fel_Monk [ Qh Qc ]
yuharka folds.
>You have options at Dark Horse Table!.
>You have options at Table 11263 Table!.
magic_maniac folds.
Fel_Monk raises [$1.75].
heeroyuy raises [$5].
Midrack calls [$5].
MAN0085 folds.
wirewraps folds.
>You have options at Dark Horse Table!.
>You have options at Table 11332 Table!.
Fel_Monk calls [$3.25].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 8s, 6s, 5h ]
>You have options at Table 11263 Table!.
Fel_Monk checks.
heeroyuy bets [$5].
Midrack calls [$5].
>You have options at Dark Horse Table!.
Fel_Monk is all-In [$18.5]
>You have options at Table 11332 Table!.
oscooutlet has joined the table.
baerrizerio has joined the table.
heeroyuy is all-In [$9.1]
Midrack calls [$13.5].
** Dealing Turn ** [ 9h ]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
heeroyuy shows [ Jc, Js ] a straight, five to nine.
Midrack shows [ 4s, 4d ] a straight, five to nine.
Fel_Monk shows [ Qh, Qc ] a straight, five to nine.
Fel_Monk wins $4.35 from side pot #1 with a straight, five to nine.
Midrack wins $4.35 from side pot #1 with a straight, five to nine.
heeroyuy wins $18.38 from the main pot with a straight, five to nine.
Fel_Monk wins $18.39 from the main pot with a straight, five to nine.
Midrack wins $18.38 from the main pot with a straight, five to nine.
>You have options at Table 11263 Table!.
The re-raiser was loose and semi-aggressive preflop, so I felt that TT, JJ and AK were all possibilities. When he bet so weakly on the flop, it looked like a bit of a tell so I moved in with my QQ. Had he bet the pot I'd intended to fold. With the $5 bet I really felt that AK looked very likely, and if I had further interest in the pot it had to be all in. With over $25 in the pot I felt this was a decent bet; the flop caller, btw, was a loose calling station so could have had any pair or any draw to make that meak call. Putting $18.50 into a pot of $65 (if they both called) with a hand I felt was at least 50:50 to win it was a decent play, though the result kinda sucked.
I feel rather chastened to be posting hands from 25NL after being at the 100 games over a year ago
I'd better stick up some 200 PLO ones or something
Monk
xxxxx