Sorry to anyone awaiting (eagerly or not) the results of this mission but i've been sidetracked with a newfound love of Limit poker over the past few days. I will continue with the mission either way but I don't predict it being completed any time soon. I've finished 150 HU matches with an average ITM of 65% span across several limits. I have had the most success at the $10 level with a 71% ITM rate. The worst has been at the $50 limits with only a 58% success rate - I don't have a sufficient sample size here for any concrete evidence however (24 matches total). The average time for a match is 17.83 minutes. This works out to ~ 3.3651 matches per hour.
Hourly Win Rates
I'll do this just for the $10 level and the $50 level.
Hourly winnings are calculated as follows:
[ (
Prize *
Winrate) -
Buyin ] *
Matches-per-Hour
Therefore, at the $10 stakes:
[ (20 * .71) - 10.5 ] * 3.3651 =
$12.45 Per Hour
At the $50 stakes:
[ (100 * .58) - 50.25 ] * 3.3651 =
$19.35 Per Hour
That being said, I REALLY think a winrate of 65%+ is sustainable at the $50 stakes and I know that 4 of my losses were due to terrible beats. AJ lost to AQ when I flop 2 pair and he rivers his queen for a higher 2. My flopped flush loses to a river flush when he chases with the ace with terrible odds. Kings losing to A3 and finally (and this one I just love) losing JJ to JTo when he gets the flush. Lets say for a purely theoretical stake that I can sustain 65% winrate in the long run. Hourly earnings will then be..
[ (100 * .65) - 50.25 ] * 3.3651 =
$42.06 Per Hour
Those numbers are much better looking
Okay so anyway, i've been playing a lot of limit lately and have enjoyed winning a large sum of money in a short span of hands.
Five days my bankroll was just over $2k. Now i'm just under $3k. I don't know how long this streak can last but I will ride this wave till I can ride it no more and wring every last drop of proverrbial water from the towel untill my winnings cease to pulsate in at 10% of my bankroll at a time. Untill that day comes however, ph34r Me!
Poker is silly.
It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.
Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.