After a bad beat, losing KK to QQ, next $6.60...I was down to 15 and now I'm back up to 890. Never say die.

Made it to the second table. No action when I had a hand. Eventually went out 7th.

Oh yep, I play four tables at a time. And i'm fully aware that my ROI will soon drop big =X

Played in 8 $27 turbos tonight, and here are the results:

1 1st
1 2nd
1 3rd

I 4-tabled them, and started off great, whiffing on all 4 in the first set. I suffered a couple of suckouts and lost a coin flip, oh well. I then had a very good second set to finish the night up 9 bucks.

Gots to love this little run...

5 straight loses on the river.

That's got to be close to a record.

had 3 mtt's lose on river last night.

All with good stacks and 3 or more hours in.

No record but sure f....%$@^$#@%$#%^&(&*(*$#%$#@$#

my over all results are as follows:

21% ROI with a 42% ITM. However I have found a site with the following stats, I've just started playing there.

108% ROI with 60% ITM. The longest SNG was 55 minutes. with an average time of just under 50 minutes for a win. I've only played 30 there so far, but if this keeps up (it won't I know) I will play here forever. Reminds me of Party in the good old days..... DAMN My AQ suited just ran into JJ and didn't hit. Add a 3rd to the list now.....

After reading the "math coverage" for Nash SnG system, I tried to implement it (mainly the disputed all-in section) and here are the results.

I included only "clear" all-ins after a huge losing series. Otherwise there would be even greater disproportion.
Let the figures talk but before that here are just 3 stories (one of those reasons to collect these data)

1) provoked all-in on the flop (I have AA and he has king high card - I know he's bluffing because I provoked the all-in). And the turn comes: K and the river comes: K

2) 4 people: I have second stack and I raise 4BB preflop - BB with about 3% chip lead calls. flop comes 2 cards of the same suit and I have TP2ndK = I go almost all-in (2times the pot). He calls. Turn is the suit and he tries to slow play (I know it but I just have to see the showdown - I wasn't able to fight for the third after being almost first). He has T 6 (same suit).

3) 3 people and I slowplay AA (it means I raise 1BB because I never call and it's very suspicious to call preflop in later stages). SB calls. Flop comes AK8 rainbow. I would never slowplay here - but set of aces! Turn is Jack. I bet 1BB (showing weakness). SB calls. River is some shit so I again bet 1BB and SB goes all-in. There's actually only one hand that he could beat me and because we are actually heads-up ... guess what he had.

So let the figures talk (the first are the newest):
Almost everytime I was first (I almost never call all-ins preflop).
probabilities (win-lost-tie) lost/won me him

02,83 93,26 00,91 LOST Kd 8d vs. Ac Tc (I'm cuttof - SB is slowplaying)
17,32 76,46 06,22 LOST Ah 8s vs. AsJc/Ts7c
38,38 61,22 00,40 LOST Kc 9s vs. Ah 6h
23,69 71,72 04,59 LOST Ad Qc vs. Ah Ks
07,27 92,73 00,00 LOST Qs Kh vs. Ad Qd (flop: 9d 6h 2d -supertight BB called 4BB preflop raise and bet 1BB on the flop)
43,86 55,07 01,07 LOST Qh Qc vs. AhQs/KcTc
45,96 54,04 00,00 LOST Ac 8c vs. Js Jh (flop:9c Kc Th)
45,90 53,67 00,43 LOST Ac 8c vs. 7c 7h
44,84 54,80 00,36 LOST Ks Ad vs. 7s 7c
47,09 51,24 01,67 won As 9c vs. 8sKh/9sQd
42,68 35,98 21,13 won Qs Qc vs. KsAd/Th8h
68,76 30,48 00,76 won Ks Qs vs. 3d 9s
63,38 35,84 00,78 LOST Kh 8d vs. Jd 2h
42,95 56,65 00,41 LOST Kh Ad vs. Js Jd
73,15 22,72 04,12 LOST Ad Kd vs. As 6h
80,56 19,06 00,38 won Ad As vs. Td Th


In other words I won
47% 42% 68% 80%
and lost:
17% 61% 72% 93% 55% 54% 54% 55% 36% 57% 23% 93%

And just one note: they've called about 3/4 of my all-ins (that's no surprise if you see the crap).

Probabilities are taken from this site: http://simulator.pokertips.org/simulator.php

So the math never lies?