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Interesting scenario: Fold AA preflop here? - Live Poker Forums

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Interesting scenario: Fold AA preflop here?

Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:13 pm

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Postby GreaterThanU » Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:18 pm

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Postby emmasdad » Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:19 pm

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Postby GodlikeRoy » Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:25 pm

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Postby kdiddy33 » Wed Mar 01, 2006 2:32 pm

fold - the reason you raise with aces or any other big pair pre flop is to isolate, which makes the hand stronger. Against 8 or 9 other hands, your aces are barely a favorite over any other hand. In fact, I believe suited connectors that have the most opportunity for straight draws or baby flushes would be the best cards in this situation. I forget which ones are the best, maybe 4 5 or J 10, something like that. J 10 might be good because it can make the bottom straight on broadway and the top of a 7 8 9 hand.

Somebody who read the material on these hands please chime in, I forget. Interesting post though.
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Postby Triple B » Wed Mar 01, 2006 11:08 pm

Instafold. Unless there is a split you are 100% to win $30 (with a chance at $50). Calling is 35% to win $50.

Do the math.
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Thu Mar 02, 2006 12:36 am

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Postby EscapePlan9 » Thu Mar 02, 2006 12:41 pm

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RE: Interesting scenario: Fold AA preflop here?

Postby Kidoubled » Thu Mar 02, 2006 2:36 pm

Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet. ~~ Rousseau
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Postby Cactus Jack » Fri Mar 03, 2006 7:39 am

Go, EP! That's the best explanation offered. It's about the money, not about winning the pots. We often forget that in the heat of the moment, but good players are always looking for the most effective ways to win the most chips. Folding AA would not be that way.
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Postby GreaterThanU » Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:28 pm

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Postby scarface » Sat Mar 04, 2006 10:53 pm

[quote="GreaterThanU"]yea but AA gets cracked every 1 in 5 times. so if you go 5 way to the flop, isn't it more likely that it'll get cracked?[quote]

It will get cracked more often than it wins, but you'll still win money in the long run since you are getting 5 to 1 what you put into it and you are not a 5 to one underdog, in a ring game situation.

In the first SNG situation I would fold since you are almost guaranteed the $30. If it were a ring game I would call every time.

In the second situation I would call, since folding does not guarantee you any money, also because folding would mean that you have very little chance of finishing first, so I think you would have a better hourly rate by calling too since you have a great chance of finishing first the times that you do win the hand.
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