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Heads-up, A2, a lot of outs. all-in or call? - Live Poker Forums

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Heads-up, A2, a lot of outs. all-in or call?

Postby EscapePlan9 » Tue Jan 10, 2006 9:18 am

Blinds are 150/300
I'm the BTN with ~10k chips
Villain has ~4k chips
I have [As][2d] and raise to 1000, he calls

Flop: [2s][9s][6c]

He leads out with a bet of 600. I call.

Turn: [4s] (pot is around 3000 now)

He bets out 1000 and only has 2800 chips remaining after the bet. Should I push all-in or just call? I have flush outs (9), deuce outs (2) and likely A outs (3), or close to 14 outs which makes me nearly 30% to improve on the river.

I opted to call and here's why: I don't think there's much of a chance he's folding after committing so much of his stack in the pot, and I do not believe my bottom pair would be good here. He probably has a middle pocket pair (sevens?) or some suited connector that's paired up or has an OESD. If I didn't improve on the river, I wouldn't call the likely all-in 2800 bet on the river.
Last edited by EscapePlan9 on Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby Cactus Jack » Tue Jan 10, 2006 10:07 am

Well played. I read him for pairing the board, too. He's not going anywhere. You either bust him on the river, or play the next hand still with a lot of chips.

An aside...this kind of hand is the reason I don't care for pushbotting. If you push PF, you probably run him out and it's probably a +EV play. However, as you have position--given up when you go all in--you can play post-flop and have a better chance of bustin him, at the very worst. If you can play post-flop, and you better be able to if you want to move up in limits, then you don't push even if it's +cEV to do so. Know how, yes, but temper it with the situation. Just my humble opinion.

CJ
"Are the players better as the stakes go up? It's not an exam; it's a buyin." Barry Tanenbaum
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Postby EscapePlan9 » Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:57 pm

I only do push potting when the blinds are so high relative to chip stacks that raising any less would force you to call the all-in re-raise. If he only had 3k chips, I would have just pushed PF. Instead he had a little more than 4k chips, which gives us a chance for a little post-flop play.

BTW, I paired my A on the river in this hand. He bet out half his remaining stack, I raised him in the rest, and he called. I take down the pot and the 1st place. I never saw what he had, and PokerRoom tournament hand histories aren't saved anywhere (that I know of).
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