by ua1176 » Sun Mar 26, 2006 10:38 pm
the short version is this:
no one is respecting your raise unless it's 3x the original bet or more.
in a typical $100NL game between 2 decent players with a full stack in a raised pot, there'll be roughly $10 in the pot on the flop. if the PF raiser leads for $10 and you raise, you have to raise to at least $30. between preflop and flop, you have put in 1/3 of your stack. you'll hit your flush just over 1/3 of the time, or your OESD almost exactly 1/3 of the time, and there is no guarantee at all that you'll get paid with the rest of villain's stack. it is not hugely +EV to raise with the intent of seeing a free turn card, especially against players who will call your flop raise, and lead out on a blank turn because of either their strong poker skills or their complete stupidity.
there are about a million good reasons to sometimes raise your draws. the free card is at the bottom of the list IMO. i didnt go into great detail about the table conditions at the time, or about my thought process during the hand. but its silly to think that a CR with a draw is a universally poor idea.
jon