Big decision. I think I screwed up. Comment?

[adiuvat]

My first post here after lurking a while. Hi everyone.

Stars $1M GTD this sunday.
My first major tournament, though I've cashed in a fair number of smaller 5 figure GTDs. I'm pretty deep in the money, 225 players left, already winning $900 from $15 invested via satellite. The next two money jumps involve 50%+ of the field vanishing, for a payoff of $200. Wow, big money. So I'm thinking it's time to move into attack mode and double up by any means necessary, so I can survive four or five jumps, where the money starts to ratchet up.

The blinds are eating me-- my M is 6 now, and the blinds are about to go up, putting me effectively in the Red Zone (Harrington talk). My Q is laughable, everyone's stack is bigger, 2-3x average. I have just enough chips to make an allin loss painful, nearly crippling for some.

I'm dealt AJo in mid pos. The table has been mostly tight except for VILLAIN.


VILLAIN raises EP 2.5xBB, has been quite aggressive preflop, taking down more pots than me uncontested. I know he will call if I reraise allin, since he's called with pretty average (AT+) type cards before for big chunks, and also with mid pairs. I've had an absolute dirt run of cards, and am looking at AJo, my first double paint in forever. As you can see below, I reraise allin, and get called HU. My opponent turns over AQ and holds up to eliminate me.

So. Was it a good idea? I think about all the coinflip or domination hands I could have, and think maybe so. Then I think I could have tried to hold on for big slick+, and think maybe not-- I wasn't THAT desperate. I end up deciding that even if I'm dominated, my future is so bleak given my M/Q relationship and the future prize levels, that I am justified going allin even with no fold equity. $175,000 is on the line. $200 is pretty ridiculous in comparison when my costs for the next month are already covered.

I'm extremely conflicted over this one. Help?


*********** # 316 **************
PokerStars Game #4576815259: Tournament #21922378, Hold'em No Limit - Level XVII
(1500/3000) - 2006/04/09 - 21:10:12 (ET)
Table '21922378 146' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: BPA234 (15154 in chips)
Seat 2: HERO (32946 in chips)
Seat 3: CrazyChrisAA (70942 in chips)
Seat 4: Rob 1973 (101016 in chips)
Seat 5: Abriluchi (54669 in chips)
Seat 6: ROONEY_DIVES (77447 in chips)
Seat 7: wyzElReyxyz (46093 in chips)
Seat 8: bjfriedm (106770 in chips)
Seat 9: VILLAIN (92882 in chips)

BPA234: posts the ante 150
HERO: posts the ante 150
CrazyChrisAA: posts the ante 150
Rob 1973: posts the ante 150
Abriluchi: posts the ante 150
ROONEY_DIVES: posts the ante 150
wyzElReyxyz: posts the ante 150
bjfriedm: posts the ante 150
VILLAIN: posts the ante 150
Abriluchi: posts small blind 1500
ROONEY_DIVES: posts big blind 3000

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Jh Ac]
wyzElReyxyz: folds
bjfriedm: folds
VILLAIN: raises 4500 to 7500
BPA234: folds
HERO: raises 25296 to 32796 and is all-in
CrazyChrisAA: folds
Rob 1973: folds
Abriluchi: folds
ROONEY_DIVES: folds
VILLAIN: calls 25296
...
VILLAIN: shows [Qc Ad] (a full house, Queens full of Kings)
HERO: shows [Jh Ac] (two pair, Kings and Queens)
VILLAIN collected 71442 from pot

[Cactus Jack]