the variance is ginormous yes.. on a related note.. saw a donkey who i had notes on, and have had previously played alot of $400 NL with, at a $2000 H/U NL table, alone. He was playing at another $2000 H/U table (which he seemed to be down about 5k on) and a 6 handed $2000 table (which he was up about 1k on). I know he's just on a huge heater and is moving up limits too quickly trying to make a huge gamble. I've seen him play 300 hands, of $400 NL, and he's won 1600$. His VPIP is over 55% and he's an idiot.. So what do I do? On this, the very worst evening to take a shot? I take a shot. I wasn't really tilting, I had made back all my money from the aforementioned suckout.
in the BB
PRE-FLOP
redsox33861 bets $55, HERO calls $45.
FLOP [board cards
HERO checks, redsox33861 bets $111, HERO bets $555, redsox33861 calls $444.
TURN [board cards
HERO bets $1,750.50 and is all-in, redsox33861 calls $1,003 and is all-in.
RIVER [board cards
SHOWDOWN
HERO shows
redsox33861 shows
redsox33861 wins $3,245 with a flush, king high.
G G
I BETTER TEAR IT UP IN VEGAS OR /LIFE TILT