Fuck the long run, I want my $1200 now.

[Xaston]

Worst part is some jackasses comment at the table cost me the pot. Although the EV of getting him to call was like $8 or some bullshit more than him folding.



***** Hand History for Game 4103224402 *****
$400 NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, April 26, 22:10:01 ET 2006
Table Table 96529 (No DP) (Real Money)
Seat 4 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 3: uliisses ( $1391.50 )
Seat 6: Sleepy6666 ( $585 )
Seat 4: Xaston ( $978.20 )
Seat 2: Green_Smurf ( $452.60 )
Seat 1: SIRcridder11 ( $94.40 )
Seat 5: broomcorns ( $100 )
broomcorns posts small blind [$2].
Sleepy6666 posts big blind [$4].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Xaston [ 7h Qh ]
SIRcridder11 folds.
Green_Smurf folds.
uliisses folds.
Xaston raises [$12].
broomcorns calls [$10].
Sleepy6666 raises [$41].
Xaston calls [$33].
broomcorns folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Qc, 7s, Ac ]
Sleepy6666 checks.
Xaston bets [$70].
Sleepy6666 raises [$200].
Xaston is all-In [$863.20]
you got to call
look at that pot
Sleepy6666 is all-In [$340]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6s ]
** Dealing River ** [ 6h ]
Sleepy6666 shows [ Kd, Kh ] two pairs, kings and sixes.
Xaston shows [ 7h, Qh ] two pairs, queens and sevens.
Xaston wins $393.20 from side pot #1 with two pairs, queens and sevens.
Sleepy6666 wins $1179 from the main pot with two pairs, kings and sixes.

[MVPSPORTS]

You DID win a decent sidepot... look at the bright side man...

[The Golden 1]

MVP the side pot was just the extra that Xaston had more than the other dude...

[k3nt]

[Kuso]

[The Golden 1]

[Kuso]

[GodlikeRoy]

[shobute]

[Kuso]

i was doing equity calculations not EV calculations. at the point just after xas pushes, he wants villain to call as he's WAY ahead in pot equity.

whether xas should push or not is a different calcuation... something like what Roy did. that being said, i'm not really sure where roy got his numbers from. those aren't the ones that i would use for EV calculations. i'm also not sure why you subtacted the two figures. finally, you would need to assign some probabilities to the fold/call decision and then ADD the results.

anyway, it'd be nice if xas could tell us how he arrived at $8, because if i could see his hand fundamental theorem of poker style, i'd want him to call the all-in bet.

[GodlikeRoy]

What numbers would you use for EV calculations? The numbers I used are in proportion to Sleepy's stack since Xas has him covered. If he folds, Sleepy has put in $245 and Xas wins that amount 100% of the time. (actually that number itself is a little off, it should be $257 as broomcorns put in $12 too). If he calls, the $585 i used is the starting stack of Sleepy as that's the maximum Xas can win from the hand. (again that number should actually be $597.. my mistake)

Using my method the new numbers should give these results..

Sleepy folds, Xas wins $257

Sleepy calls and loses, Xas wins $597 72.9% of the time = $435.21
Sleepy calls and wins, Xas loses $597 27.1% of the time = $161.78
Sleepy calls = $435.21 - $161.78 = $273.43

EV difference between folding and calling: $273.43 - $257 = $16.43

I don't need to assign probabilities to the fold/call decision as i'm not calculating the EV of Xas's push, i'm calculating the EV of Sleepy's call. About subtracting the two figures, that's a bit confusing and it's my fault, the reason is that the line

Sleepy calls and wins, Xas loses $597 27.1% of the time = $161.78

Should really have the answer of -$161.78 (because that's the amount Xas would LOSE, not win), and since it's a negative, i simply subtracted it (adding a negative is subtracting)..

[Kuso]

[GodlikeRoy]

[Xaston]

[emmasdad]