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Odds of AA 6 times in 180 hands. - Live Poker Forums

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Odds of AA 6 times in 180 hands.

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Odds of AA 6 times in 180 hands.

Postby Twelver » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:28 pm

Mekos King (10:21:59 PM): one of the first rules of manlaw
Mekos King (10:22:06 PM): is never ever try to suck backup to a bitch
Mekos King (10:22:09 PM): who caught u cheatin
Mekos King (10:22:23 PM): unless your married and would lose like money inna divorce
Mekos King (10:22:33 PM): then u suckup just long enuf to get close enough to killer obv

Heat517163 (5:05:37 PM): black people man
Heat517163 (5:05:40 PM): they travel in packs
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Postby MHFlush » Tue May 02, 2006 5:37 am

You can calculate it roughly by using the so called Poisson-distribution (look in wikipedia). It is an easier version of the Gaussian distribution.
Anyway, the probability of getting AA is 1/220. If you calculate the probability of hitting 0,1,2,3,4... AA in 220 hands, it is the following:

0 times: 36.8%
1 time: 36.8%
2 times: 18.4%
3 times: 6.1%
4 time: 1.5%
5 times: 0.3%
6 times: 0.05%

So the probablity for hitting 6 AA in 180 hands is smaller than 0.05%.

Reagrds, MHFlush
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