Experts advice.... [1000NL 6max]

[WayToGo]

My image is ultra lag, raising every button and CO and CBing every raised pot, scooping lots a small pots etc etc although I'm relatively new at the table so I haven't really shown anything down.

Full 6m table and this hand goes fold fold MP limps, I limp behind [8s] (I'm not looking for advice on this questionable limp I have my reasons) fold, SB folds, BB checks.

Flop OBV comes [7s] BB checks, MP bets 30 into 30 I raise to 180 and BB just shoves for 1k, MP instacalls... I think "WTF" and call. turn A river 2

MP shows JJ?? for JJJAT BB shows KQdd for TJQKA

turns out I'm a big FFFFFFFFFING dawgggg in this hand -

pokenum -h 8s 9d - js jc - kd qd -- td jd 7c
Holdem Hi: 903 enumerated boards containing 7c Jd Td
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8s 9d 232 25.69 671 74.31 0 0.00 0.257
Js Jc 310 34.33 593 65.67 0 0.00 0.343
Kd Qd 361 39.98 542 60.02 0 0.00 0.400


so my question is, who folds here? I mean, who the hell could possibly fold right there?? What do I do? Thoughts please






http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=6265625&page=0&fpart=all&vc=1

[Zmej]

Low content.

[WayToGo]

No way this is low content if anyone finds a fold there, how crazy it might sound. I wasn't sure if the actual repliers in the thread were serious at all, but it has some deep analysis to it.

Maybe it is low-content in which case 2+2 players bluffed me with their uncomparable arrogance and got me intoo thinking this wasn't a no-brainer at high stakes..

[Xaston]

I already read this post on 2+2.

[WayToGo]

[iceman5]

[Stoneburg]

[MHFlush]

[hard2tel]

Yea, nobody in there right mind would fold that. Those 2+2'ers are just trying to sound smart or something.

BTW...why the hell are u playing 1000NL with a ~4K BR?...

[excession]

[adiuvat]

I presume you cover but the stacks are similar in size, since you didn't talk about a side pot with the instacaller, nor mention a big differential.

limp preflop 3 handed: pot = $17.50.
when the action gets back around to you on flop (after your raise):

it costs you 1000-180=820 to call $2017.50, meaning you're getting 2.46 to 1. At 25.7% to win in the absolute worst possible theoretical situation you are only taking 2.89:1 odds. Instacall, as if you are not facing the absolute worst possible theoretical situation even half the time, you're making solid money off the call. And even when you are, you aren't losing a ton of money on the losing call ($174 if my math is right (1000 * 2.89/2.46)).

side note: yes, it's possible he could have no diamonds and give the flushdraw one more out. So, "worst possible" etc left in for comedic emphasis.

What were the actual stacks involved? I suspect the math is even more skewed in favor of calling than you report.

[SinkRox]

[WayToGo]

[kennyg]

[excession]