Flopped big draw, unsure what to do....

[kcb]

$25NL, Bodog. Loose table.

I have in MP and raise to $1.40 after EP limps.

MP+1 calls, button calls, BB calls, and EP limper calls. Holy damn...

Flop: (Pot: ~$5)

BB checks, EP checks, I check, MP bets $3, button folds, BB calls, I call, EP folds.

I think I might have the best hand here, as AK doesn't seem all that likely. I surely would have been RR preflop with someone holding AK. 98 isn't completely out of the question and if anyone has that, It's MP seeing as how he's the bettor.. I'm not sure what I put BB on. Probably a draw, but he's so bad, he might call with top pair no kicker.

Turn: (Pot: $14)

BB checks, I check, MP leads for $8, BB calls, and I push all-in for $13 more back to them....

When MP bet, he only left himself $6 behind, and BB had us both covered with about $55 by the time we got to the river.

I figure if I didn't have the best hand, I'm definitely not that far behind. I put BB on an inferior draw and MP is could have the ass-end of the straight, but could also be betting into me with top pair, no kicker.

The following are the stats from pokerhand.org with the hands that I thought i was up against plugged in.

Flop:

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Js 490 54.26 398 44.08 15 1.66 0.548
8s 7s 4 0.44 797 88.26 102 11.30 0.058
Qc 8h 307 34.00 494 54.71 102 11.30 0.394

Turn:

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Js 15 35.71 27 64.29 0 0.00 0.357
8s 7s 0 0.00 39 92.86 3 7.14 0.036
Qc 8h 24 57.14 15 35.71 3 7.14 0.607

So assuming my read is correct, it looks like I just pushed on the wrong street.

Results later..

Thoughts?

[black_knight6]

[kcb]

[T-Rod]

[black_knight6]

[kcb]

[The Golden 1]

[Aisthesis]

[kcb]

[JSBC]

[shobute]

Yes it should.

[NorthView]

[k3nt]

[Twelver]

I raise the flop here like 99% of the time. You have the best hand, and even if you don't you are damn sure drawing to it. Ger your money in before that you want falls and kills all of your action.

[LetsGetItCrunk]

PUSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSH. Get the money in on the flop. Also I strongly agree that big hands on other tables are capable of influencing your play on the current table. Especially when there is a difficult decision at hand. If all fails and you cant think on the bullets table... just push it has to be +Ev.