How often will this work?

[iceman5]

I raise to $35 on the button with [3c]. Both blinds call.

Pot $105. Flop [8d][5c]. They check and I bet $80. BB calls.

Pot $265. Turn Check/check
Pot $265. River . He bets $175 and I raised to $450. Do you think he folds enough for this to be profitable?

PS..this is a bluff, not a value bet. I dont expect to win if he calls.

[T-Rod]

Hmmm. Very tricksy.

I really want a read. Does he often get aggressive on rivers after a turn check? Also, if he's a tight player I like it less than a loose player.

I think he'd need a K to call. What hand is he calling with on the flop with a K in it? Not many.

I dunno. His bet seem more like a VB than a blocking one so unless you think he's capable of making a good fold, its probably not worth it.

[Aisthesis]

[ua1176]

i'd like it a lot more if the was swapped out for some other random on the board

[iceman5]

I have no idea how often this will work, but he did fold.

[Stelvask]

Well, he can't really call you without the here. If he's going to be bold and call you with the , or if he's going to be fishy and call you with something less, then good on him.

But we all know that you're going to have the more often than a bluff here, so if the guy is going to play with you here without the K, then good on him. obv. if he has the K it's a moot point.

I like this bluff

[Xaston]

How's about a minraise?

[Dumb Snowman]

or will frustratingly call a minraise here every time. Probably even a .

[shobute]