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AK and not a fan of the turn card ($50 NL FR) - Live Poker Forums

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AK and not a fan of the turn card ($50 NL FR)

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AK and not a fan of the turn card ($50 NL FR)

Postby k3nt » Fri Sep 15, 2006 10:42 pm

This is a pretty common situation, and I feel like an idiot for not knowing how to handle it.

$50 NL FR at Ongame.

[Ac][Kh] in MP and raise 5x, get 2 callers behind me.

Pot $7.50. Flop [Ah][7c][5c]. I make my standard CB of say $6, get 1 caller. No read but he has a full stack.

Pot $13.50. Turn [Jc]. Now AJ is beating me as well as the flush. The pot is getting big. What's the plan for the rest of the hand?

Bet again -- lets the flush milk me and worse hands get away
Check/call -- I have no clue where I am or what to do on the river
Check/fold -- no way, especially with the nut flush draw
Check/raise -- no way

If you favor a bet, then how much?

Can anybody help me out? Thanks.
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Postby Dumb Snowman » Sat Sep 16, 2006 1:13 am

Pot on the turn should be $19, yah?

Anyway, TPTK with the nut flush draw is damn near unfoldable here I think.

You're 15% to win against the made flush.
25% to win against AJ
95% to win against AQ or AT (no club)
and 20% against a set.

So I would check/call the turn and call probably any bet on the river (assuming he put in a decent bet on the turn.

I hate this situation because you're WAY ahead of Ax, way behind to a made flush, not too good against a set, and okay against two pair.

Since Ax is probably his most likely holding I think you gotta call any reasonable bet here.
Partake in my bollocks, bloody chav!
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Postby Runner_Runner » Sat Sep 16, 2006 7:55 pm

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Postby k3nt » Sat Sep 16, 2006 10:27 pm

I hadn't thought of that line -- check and hope for a check behind, and re-evaluate based on what he does. Works for me. Thanks. :)
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Postby SinkRox » Sun Sep 17, 2006 12:33 am

Grinding 200nl 5max. Experimenting.
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Postby T-Rod » Sun Sep 17, 2006 4:53 am

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Postby Eclipse86 » Sun Sep 17, 2006 12:20 pm

=)
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