200NL - Flopped a set, yipee

[black_knight6]

200NL Party

Villian isn't a LAG.

LP with TT and EP raises 5x to 10, MP calls, I call, SB pops to 32, I'm the only caller

Flop pot ~85. Flop comes AKT rainbow and he leads 28.

What's your read and plan?

edit: Stacks are 250 each.

[bkholdem]

[Eclipse86]

well sb's pf RR represents QQ KK AA (maybe AK).. 2 of those 4 hands has u dominated right now... one is VERY scared of that flop.. there is really no need to raise this flop whatsoever imo.. ur either beaten to a pulp or ur ahead here..
if he has the QQ, then let him keep betting into you.. if u raise that flop then QQ is dropping his hand and you no longer gain any value from when u are vs. an opponent who is betting weaker holding on that flop.... if u raise, then ur gonna get repoped by AA/KK or even AK and then ur gonna have a really hard decision to make for ur entire stack (ur gonna be wondering hmm.. does opponent have higher set, or top 2???). A flop raise here is only going to get called / re-raised if ur behind most of the time (its possible he could have AK).

with that being said, i would flat call the flop bet, and see a turn card.. and re-evaluate the situation on the turn.. getting ready to drop the hand if a Q, J comes..

if he continues betting turn, then i probably flat call (depending on bet size) and re-evaluate the river.
if he checks turn, then u know u are ahead, and u should lead out (maybe bet about 90$ on turn). be rdy to put down if he cr's turn tho.

in any case, this is a very sticky situation you got into... id try my best to keep pot small, and to try to take it to showdown without commiting my entire stack.

i think ur pf play was fine tho.... u have good implied odds to be playing for set value there

[Zmej]

I think I would fold this. If you raise or someting you are going to lose much when ahead and win little when behind.

Ideally if he could have AK here then is an easy raise, but with PF raiser and 2 callers his range is moved mostly towards AA and KK. So I think this is a fold.

[T-Rod]

I'd want a read on SB because I don't like that flop for you you. If SB is tight, I probably just fold.

If he's pretty loose as a reraiser, then I'm definitely raisnig and looking to get it all in.

[Molina]

[black_knight6]

I called the flop and a J came. So the only hand I beat is AK. I squarely put villian on AA/KK and was merely upset at myself for calling the flop bet. He lead 75 into the turn and I folded. I think his lead was probably a mistake, but...meh.

[bkholdem]