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3/6nl - who likes my flop push here? - Live Poker Forums

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3/6nl - who likes my flop push here?

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3/6nl - who likes my flop push here?

Postby Stelvask » Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:27 pm

BB is 16/9 with an AF of 2.53
he is also at -11 BB/100 hands over the 1500 i have with him. I'm not sure if that makes this push worse or not.

Also, he usually buys in short and tries to double up. normally his stack isn't this big

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6 BB (9 handed) from (Format: Bet The Pot)

UTG+1 ($1000.05)
MP1 ($353.80)
MP2 ($296.40)
MP3 ($740.20)
CO ($601.65)
Hero ($646.20)
SB ($667.75)
BB ($656.10)
UTG ($348)

Preflop: Hero is Button with [3h], [5h].
6 folds, Hero raises to $18, 1 fold, BB raises to $42, Hero calls $24.

Flop: ($87) [6c], [6h], [4h] (2 players)
BB bets $54, Hero raises to $604.2,
-[4h]-
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Postby Zmej » Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:38 pm

"#3 pencils and quadrille pads."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when asked what CAD tools he used to design the Cray I supercomputer; he also recommended using the back side of the pages so that the grid lines were not so dominant.

"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby Stoneburg » Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:44 pm

Assuming he never folds you'll still not lose money doing it. If he has AK or an overpair that he's willing to fold, you're definetely +EV here.

Having said that I think you can just flat call the flop instead, you're straight draw will be impossible for him to detect and HU people don't tend to worry too much about the flushes.
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Postby Molina » Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:50 pm

I like the fact that numbers wise you're about 2% from 50/50 but that you're gambling 1 stack versus what will feel like a double stack against the villain as he's a normally half stacked.

Does he think you would ever play AA this way though because I'd like a few percentage points extra of fold equity.
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Postby KikoSanchez » Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:57 pm

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Postby Stelvask » Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:00 pm

-[4h]-
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Postby shobute » Mon Sep 18, 2006 6:32 pm

I can't see any way that this isn't at worst case neutral EV.
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Postby KikoSanchez » Mon Sep 18, 2006 7:01 pm

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Postby Molina » Mon Sep 18, 2006 7:22 pm

Doesn't harm ones image too
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Postby Stelvask » Mon Sep 18, 2006 7:44 pm

-[4h]-
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Postby Schuster » Mon Sep 18, 2006 11:00 pm

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Postby Zmej » Tue Sep 19, 2006 4:36 am

"#3 pencils and quadrille pads."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when asked what CAD tools he used to design the Cray I supercomputer; he also recommended using the back side of the pages so that the grid lines were not so dominant.

"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Tue Sep 19, 2006 4:47 am

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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Postby Zmej » Tue Sep 19, 2006 4:57 am

"#3 pencils and quadrille pads."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when asked what CAD tools he used to design the Cray I supercomputer; he also recommended using the back side of the pages so that the grid lines were not so dominant.

"Interesting - I use a Mac to help me design the next Cray."
- Seymoure Cray (1925-1996) when he was told that Apple Inc. had recently bought a Cray supercomputer to help them design the next Mac.
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Postby GodlikeRoy » Tue Sep 19, 2006 5:26 am

Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

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