Paired board make trips less likey??

[Pok 7's]

[BigPhish]

It's poker odds (mebbe this belongs in the odds forum?).

I've forgotten too much to do the math, but let's say this...

There are 4 aces in the deck, yes?

The odds for 1 of them to be in my hand, before seeing any other cards, are 48:4 (12:1) against.

Now let's say we see 3 cards on the flop and 2 in your hand, and 3 of those cards are Aces.

Now the odds of one (the only remaining) ace being in my hand are 47:1 against, almost 4x worse.

The maths is probably off, but the idea's there anyway...

[NorthView]

[k3nt]

[black_knight6]

ABSENT hand reading skills, it's true that if the board pairs, that it statistically makes it less likely...but you have to balance that prior probability statement with the hand's action.

[Pok 7's]