I was playing in a local house game that goes on once every month or so. Buy-in is typically $100, action is 8-to-10 handed most of the time.
I was playing pretty well and running pretty solid as well, and in a couple of hours I was chip-leading after I stacked off a donk who tried to make a crazy check-raise all-in on the turn with nut-flush draw when I had flopped top and bottom pair.
I was sitting at about $450 when the following hand came up -
We were five-handed and a guy with about $230 opens it up for $4 on top under the gun (blinds are $.50 & $1.00). I pump-it up to $15 in the small blind after looking down at Ace's and he insta-calls.
Flop comes A[c] 10[d] 9[d]
I decide to slightly under-bet and feel my way out - we're playing short-handed and I flop the nuts on a somewhat dangerous flop. This was probably the mistake I made that got me in trouble.
I bet $15 into a pot of $30 and he insta-called again.
Turn comes a J
I lead for $40 into a pot of $60 because I really didn't like the turn. I thought it was reasonable he had a hand like KQ of diamonds and had decided to just call since he had such a big draw.
He went all in almost immediatly for $160 on top. The pot was $140 so I wasn't even getting laid 2-to-1. In hindsight, if I had bet $30 on the flop and he had made a looser call and hit it on the turn, I would have lead for $60-$75 and priced myself in more accordingly at better than 3-to-1.
I considered his hand range making that play that I thought was reasonable - he was playing somewhat looser because he had been running bad and got caught on a huge bluff earlier before he re-bought. I also took into account that he had no idea I had Aces from the way I played it.
Hands I thought he could feasibly have - KQ of diamonds, 78 of diamonds, AJ anything (unlikely cause it would be case Ace but it happened later in the night AA vs. AJ flopped an Ace and got paid off, so I guess it just goes to show you sometimes), and Sets 99, 10,10, JJ. Afterall, if he flopped a set and put me on AK-AQ, or a flush draw, he could just call and try to get me all in on the turn. Believe it, I've seen much goofier fucking plays fromt this guy.
So I go in the tank for a little and countdown my chips, and I still got like $220 behind. I make a call with that gut feeling of knowing that it's a lay-down you probably should be making.
He turns over 78 of hearts and it rivers an offsuit 6. He scoops.
In retrospect, I feel like I could have gotten off the hand - I only had $70 invested, I knew it was a bad turn, and the range of hands he would be making that play with were like 50/50.
I think I should have bet more on the flop to protect - if he had actually flopped 99 or 1010, he would definitely re-raise huge there anyways even if I over-bet. Likewise, I would let him catch a flush with a hand like QJ of diamonds or KJ of diamonds which a donk like him would definitely call with for $10 more even when he's been playing and running bad. I also took into the account he was not playing great since he was in the hole and was playing looser (perhaps then I could have put him on 78)
Any thoughts on how I played it/should have played it?