AA hand facing river shove ($100NL 6-max)

[ua1176]

$100NL 6-max @ Tribeca.

UTG folds. next 3 players limp. i make it $7 from the SB with [As]. folds around to button, who calls. when i first sat down i was pushing him around constantly....stealing his SB when he limped, reraising his SB raises, 3-betting his PF raises, etc etc. he's relatively predictable. too loose for his own good, not aggressive enough in position, not paying enough attention to position, ec etc etc. we both have around $130 to start.


flop: [5s][2s]
pot: $17

i lead $14, he calls

turn:
pot: $45

i lead $30, he calls

river:
pot: $105

i check, he insta-shoves for his remaining $80. i insta-call. thoughts?

jon

[adamh]

your beat

[Devbert]

Definitely seems like your beat. He could easily have flopped a set (most likely 2-2 or 5-5), or he could have J-9 or K-J or maybe even K-9 if he's donk-tasticle enough.

Most of the time this won't be a bluff - I'd raise more pre-flop, preferably $15 +.

[k3nt]

If you checked you have to call the river. Especially if he's mad at you for stealing stuff from him the bluff % goes way up.

[Pozzo]

[Triple B]

I call this all day after the river check.

[NorthView]

[Zmej]

Sometimes I would check turn here for pot control. As played call the river.

[ua1176]

i briefly considered folding....but realized i was just getting scared of the bet-size.

what i've realized is this....when a bad player raises the flop, it's usually an overpair, 2 pair, or draw. when he raises the turn it's usually a set or a completed draw. when he pulls this nonsense on the river he's usually full of crap (though sometimes he's backdoored something annoying).

so i called. he showed [6s]. i'd actually undersized by turn bet a little specifically because i felt he was getting annoyed and would very possibly bluff the river if he thought it might get him a fold. if i bet full pot on the turn im not sure he shoves river.

i've been a little more willing in general this past week or two to get all-in and i think it's been helping me out.

jon