AQs value bet ($200 6max)

[MindOverMatter]

Villain has 37% VPIP and 6% PFR. Other than being too loose preflop, he seems standard if not a big cagey.

1) Reraise, fold, or call preflop?
2) Call, raise, or fold turn? I put him on a small PP or broadway cards. I planned to bet the river if checked to if I missed.
3) Value bet that river? Amount? He checked quickly on the river.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $196.80
UTG+1: $302
CO: $217.05
Hero: $196
SB: $64.15
BB: $90.50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with
2 folds, CO raises to $6, Hero calls, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: ($20, 3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($20, 3 players)
SB checks, CO bets $18, Hero calls, SB folds.

River: ($56, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $40, CO calls.

Results:
Final pot: $136

[DoctorHandles]

1) Reraise
2) Call and get ready to bluff if he checks river to you
3) River bet is fine

[GodlikeRoy]

Im about 70/30 for re-raising preflop.

I raise that turn everytime.

As played, your river bet is good.

[kennyg]

i could lay this down preflop. 6% preflop raise is very tight.


I would raise the turn to $60. you'd be repping trip 4's or 999 with a ton of outs behind. put the decison to him. if he has overs you will win no contest.

river i would bet as you did.

[Stoneburg]

I really think you could fold preflop. His PFR range is a lot better than AQ, 6% indicates he raises something like AA-TT and AK/AQ. That means you are dominated a fair amount of the time. Since it's not going to be multiway I put less value into being suited.

Being in position I don't think it is a mistake to call but I still think it is marginal.

I would probably bet that flop. He cannot have hit it, and since he checked it seems unlikely he has an overpair. Here you can usa position to get him off AK or another AQ hand. The results will be the same since if he calls the flop he'll probably check the turn and you take your free card.

I'm not sure about valuebetting the river, his play looks like AK to me and if he is passive he could well be checking that river intending to call. The more aggressive he is the better a valuebet is.

[GodlikeRoy]

OP, How many hands are you basing his stats on?

[MindOverMatter]