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Am I pot committed? ($50 NL FR)

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Am I pot committed? ($50 NL FR)

Postby k3nt » Mon Nov 27, 2006 1:06 pm

$50 NL FR at Eurolinx. Villain is a regular and a winner but a strange player. He plays all sorts of crap preflop, and then he seems to like to sponge on the flop. I used to wimp out against him with missed hands. But recently firing a second bullet when I have stuff like unimproved type has folded him a few times.

I get [Qc][Qs] in the CO. Someone in MP minraises to $1, I reraise to $4, Villain calls OTB, raiser calls also.

Pot $12.75. Flop [4h][3h][3c]. I like that flop a lot. Checks to me, I bet $10, Villain flat calls, preflop raiser folds. OK, so he's floating me again. Dumbass.

Pot $32.75. Turn [Kd]. Hmm. Would he really float the flop with AK unimproved? Is he just doing his standard float hoping to take it away on the turn? Against this guy I can't check/fold. But I don't want to give him a free card to catch a flush or a straight. (And yes he's weird enough to chase those on a paired board, although they make up a small % of his range.) I'd better bet. He has $31.50 left and I cover. I bet $15, he minimum raises to $30 leaving just $1.50 behind. Oops, that's not what I wanted to see. A minimum raise that leaves almost nothing left behind is just about never a bluff at $50 NL FR. I'm pretty sure I'm in deep doo-doo here, but can I fold for just $16.50 more?
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Postby iceman5 » Mon Nov 27, 2006 1:12 pm

I probably woundnt fold, but I think youre beat most of the time.

In other words, youre getting over 5-1 to call so you dont have beat him very often. However, he knows youre not folding so he probably has you beat at least 5 times out of 6. Its probably close to nuetral EV.
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Postby adamh » Mon Nov 27, 2006 3:00 pm

mets better step it up
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Postby Rhound50 » Mon Nov 27, 2006 4:27 pm

"Its a pink handbag not backpack damn it." Godlikeroy

"From playing full tilt I wanna smash every garden gnome I see. That travelocity commercial puts me on instant tilt."
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Postby geiststaat » Mon Nov 27, 2006 7:25 pm

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Postby k3nt » Mon Nov 27, 2006 8:01 pm

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