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What do you think of this over-aggressive line? - Live Poker Forums

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What do you think of this over-aggressive line?

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What do you think of this over-aggressive line?

Postby growlers » Thu Dec 28, 2006 2:25 pm

Villian is a conservative player - by conservative, I mean I have seen him lay down some hands. This is live $4-8. My image is pretty tight-aggressive and I had a mountain of chips in front of me - I think about $450.

I have [4h] [4s] in the CO and it is folded to me. I raise, he three bets, blinds fold, I call.

Flop: [8h] [6h] [2h] I check, he bets, I checkraise, he calls.

Turn: [Jd] I bet, he raises, I fold.

Is this play worth it? My thought when he three-bet preflop was that he had a hand, this guy ain't three betting without JJ-AA or AK, maaayyybeee AQ. So my plan was to dump it on the flop without a set and then the all-heart flop came and I decided to try to make a play.
But which of these hands does a "conservative" player fold here? Does he fold KK with no heart? QQ or JJ?
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Postby redhouse » Thu Dec 28, 2006 3:01 pm

This is limit poker. Even conservative players will call down and make you show your set/flush on an underboard. The monotone flop is actually more likely to make him call imo, since the odds of you being on a draw and not a made flush are decent. The only thing he might fold here is AK/AQ, and again, if he has a heart, he isnt folding those either which makes your bluff very expensive and not very likely to succeed.
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Postby growlers » Thu Dec 28, 2006 3:34 pm

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Postby redhouse » Thu Dec 28, 2006 3:50 pm

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Postby redhouse » Thu Dec 28, 2006 4:01 pm

Having said that, if you really think you could have got the guy to see monsters in that flop and fold, I trust gut reads live. Theyre usually right (but sometimes they're just hopeful thinking ;) ).
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Postby antneye » Thu Dec 28, 2006 4:59 pm

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Postby Marm » Fri Dec 29, 2006 1:32 pm

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I swear to God, next time I have to come back here, I'm bringing a stun gun and a weedwacker!
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Postby Pok 7's » Fri Dec 29, 2006 2:01 pm

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