Hand against Super LAG

[iceman5]

Villain in this hand is a maniac LAG. Its hard to tell if he knows what hes doing or not. Hes winning and running over the table but at 92 / 80 I just dont believe hes a winner. Those stats are after 60 hands. He either min raises or raises to $12 every hand.

One hand he limped Q5 (very rare limp) and called my $10 raise after another caller.
BB led $16 into $30 on a Q34 flop. Villain called and I folded.
Turn 8 check /check.
River was a T. BB led out about $30 and villain min raised him. BB called and Q5 was good.

The only other time I saw him limp..he limps T5 and calls my $10 raise
Flop 763 and he check / called my $15 bet
Turn 3 ..check / check
River J....he led $23 which i called and won.

Heres the hand..

Villian min raises.. I reraise to $14 with [Qs] and he calls.

Pot $31. Flop [Jh][6d]..Check / check....I didnt want to get chreck raise bluffed.
Pot $31. Turn . He leads $12 and I raise to $32. he calls.
Pot $95. River . He leads $100.........UGH!

There was a previous hand where he min raised T8...He bet $2 on a 776 flop and I called. He bet $8 on the T turn and called my $30 raise and we checked it down and his hand was good. I had a flush draw but I dont think he saw my cards because this is Prima.

[Twelver]

[Stoneburg]

I fold the river but I *really* think you should bet the flop. If you're giving away free cards because you're afraid, the terrorists have already won.

[iceman5]

[WayToGo]

you obviously folded.. and it is the best play.. boring hand from you.

[iceman5]

[Stoneburg]

[GodlikeRoy]

[Aisthesis]

[Aisthesis]

[iceman5]

[black_knight6]

[SinkRox]

[Aisthesis]

I think the critical aspect here is that he's playing the river fairly cautiously on hands with some showdown value (Q5 with TP is just a mini-raise, T8 with TP is a check OOP). I also hadn't really registered the T8 hand.

Other than this hand, the only river bet was on a hand with absolutely no showdown value.

Anyhow, he seems to make it pretty easy to call if he has a hand of value.

If you do bet the flop at maybe $20, and he calls, then he check-calls the turn for maybe $50, you're looking at a river pot of almost $200 and at least makes the whole thing a lot more of a commitment.

I guess if you're really confident in the read, then the main issue is whether there's enough stack-depth on that scenario for him to fire $200 at it because he's behind--or more like $50 because he's ahead with at least an A and possibly the flush or straight ...

[AlexMR]