A fold I never make.

[Xaston]

POKERSTARS GAME #10623036938: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($2/$4) - 2007/06/25 - 23:03:33 (ET)
Table 'Baucis II' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: Xaston ($449.60 in chips)
Seat 2: Dr. ICEMAN ($457.75 in chips)
Seat 3: stdjog12 ($835.25 in chips)
Seat 4: BlueOceanX ($133 in chips)
Seat 5: prtygirl867 ($492.40 in chips)
Seat 6: Rennwurm ($464.80 in chips)
Rennwurm: posts small blind $2
Xaston: posts big blind $4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Xaston [Jh Qs]
Dr. ICEMAN: calls $4
stdjog12: folds
BlueOceanX: folds
prtygirl867: calls $4
Rennwurm: calls $2
Xaston: checks
*** FLOP *** [Ts 7c 9d]
Rennwurm: checks
Xaston: bets $12
Dr. ICEMAN: calls $12
prtygirl867: folds
Rennwurm: calls $12
*** TURN *** [Ts 7c 9d]
Rennwurm: checks
Xaston: checks
Dr. ICEMAN: bets $36
Rennwurm: folds
Xaston: calls $36
*** RIVER *** [Ts 7c 9d 9h]
Xaston: bets $99
Dr. ICEMAN: raises $101 to $200
XASTON FOLDS!?!?!?

I obviously have no reads, but he is not a regular.

[GodlikeRoy]

You used to be cool, man.

[hard2tel]

I think you need a read to fold this. Against an unknown there's no way im folding.

[GodlikeRoy]

Anyway yeah I was off a bit in my analysis before, I didn't do any calculations.

I just played around with some hand ranges. This is a definite call. If we put his range as: {77, K9s, T9s, 97s, QJo} then you have 25% equity which is enough to make the call. Add in shit like A9s going for thin value, 68s, random bluffs etc (even if we add in T9o, 97o, TT, KK, etc random shit he shouldn't have but might that beats you) then it's still a call.

[black_knight6]

[GodlikeRoy]

[black_knight6]

[dropthe72]

[Xaston]

[Xaston]

[Stoneburg]

[GodlikeRoy]

[Xaston]

[GodlikeRoy]

[black_knight6]