NL $100 5-max - Two slim river calls

[Stoneburg]

I've got a big stack ($200) and have been playing pretty aggressively and picking up a bunch of pots without a showdown. One guy just went bust and is sitting out so it is 4-handed. The average player is loose/passive.

#1
UTG with $84 limps and I have [Kh] on the button and pop it to $4 which is a standard raise. SB and limper both call.

Flop comes [9h][Jc]

Checked to me and I bet $10. UTG calls but SB gets out.

Turn is the , UTG checks and I check behind.

River is the , UTG now bets $10. I call.


#2
I have [8s] and a $175 stack in the SB. Villain with $91 just posted in the CO and now open raises to $4. The button gets out but I call as does the BB who covers the table.

Flop comes [9d][Kc]
I check, BB checks, raiser checks.

Turn is and is also checked around.

River is the

I check, BB fires $10, button folds. I call.

[GodlikeRoy]

Hand 1 - Looks good.

Hand 2 - I think the EV of this call is close to 0 but is probably on the side of it being a profitable call.

[Notorious_JC]

[Zmej]

[Stoneburg]

Zmej, regarding hand #1: When would you take a free card if you're going to bet here? I figure opponent is likely to have a J or a small pair like 88. If I bet and he has a J he will check/raise me off my big draw, if he has 88 he will probably fold. Do you think EV of semi-bluffing turn is greater than EV of taking the free card assuming we will fold to a check/raise and either call a bet or valuebet if we hit the river? Also, how do you play if you hit an A or K instead of the flush? To me it seemed easier to take the free card.

When he bets the river I think lower pairs are unlikely, he either has a J or he's busted with a heart or straight draw. The size of his river bet looks a bit like a busted draw to me.

#2
It seems unlikely (though not impossible) that BB would valuebet a 9 there. Nobody has a K for sure judging by the flop and turn action, and I would think a 9x hand would check behind. 97s seems to be the most likely hand that beats me. However, this looks like an *excellent* spot for BB to steal since I have checked 3 times and the preflop raiser has signalled he doesn't have anything.

[Zmej]

[Stoneburg]

I don't have any numbers since the site I play on isn't compatible with PT, but I would say that if I raise preflop I will CB about 90% of the time on the flop, but I will often check the turn (with air, monsters, top pairs etc). I probably bet turn under 50% of the time when I get called on the flop.

My image will definetely be aggressive though, since I bet more often and bigger than the others.

I don't think he will fold QQ here, could fold TT and will probably fold 88-22 to a turn bet.

[GodlikeRoy]

I don't think he has QQ or TT very often - he limped UTG and I know you said the players are loose/passive but most people will still almost definitely raise QQ and usually raise TT.

[T-Rod]

[Stoneburg]

Results:

#1
He had [3h] and my AK high was good.

#2
He had QJo and my pair of 8's were good.