Quick check up on a fairly standard hand here. I'm running bad (worse than I ever have) so I have to make sure my play is not going to hell. No reads.
Stack sizes:
UTG: $212.90
Button: $46.30
SB: $231.05
Hero: $200.00
Pre-flop: (
4 players) Hero is BB with
UTG calls, Button calls, SB folds, SB folds,
Hero raises to $12, UTG calls, Button folds.
Flop: (
$27, 2 players)
Hero bets $22, UTG calls.
Turn: (
$71, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks.
I figure I'm not getting a lot of action here unless I'm beat (2 pr/set, also 89 got there) so I check. I plan to call a reasonable bet here (since many will autobet the turn when checked to) and evaluate river, but he checks behind.
River: (
$71, 2 players)
Villain checked turn so I think I am ahead here. However, I check???? Villain now bets $70 and I call. In retrospect I think I prefer a bet on the river since A-rag will call me here hoping to split.
My main question is regarding the turn. I foresee problems (in other hands like this)when I check the turn and he bets, then I check the river and he bets again. Does our turn call slow him down enough so we can safely fold the river? Or do we prevent this by bet/folding the turn? But then what is our plan on the river if he calls? 3-barrelling at this board seems over-aggro and spewy to me.
What is your 'optimal' line?