2 pair facing an all-in, unraised pot (50FR)

[MTPaid]

Table dynamic is that I'd been running over the table but been showing down big hands. Got it all-in with a flush and AKs for TPTK after 3-betting and being called.

I'm sitting on close to 300BB. Opponent (SB) is TAG (26/9/11).

[9c] CO w/ $145.65
2 limpers, I limp, SB ($55) calls, BB checks
[Jc][9d] Pot $2.50
SB bets $2, BB folds, limper calls $2, limper folds, I raise to $7, SB is immediately all-in for $54.10.

He doesn't have:
He's raising JJ, AA preflop here obviously

He might have:
I don't know about 99 though. AJ or OESD are my only other thoughts. The pot was unraised preflop so I doubt he's going nuts with a lesser draw considering his stats.

I'm way ahead of:
AK (again I think he raises preflop)..........AQ (???)

Only other thought was that maybe he was just sick of my running over the table.

[Zuccala]

OESFD? He could have QT,J9,A9,8T (unlikley),99 (only one way), and Maybe AJ since you mentioned he is TAG. This hand is all really about how much variance you like. Since you mentioned he was a TAG I don't think QT. I would prolly fold. If he was your typival $50NL donk, I would call or if I had AJ.

[MTPaid]

[Zuccala]

[kokomo44]

if the 11 is his aggro???

then yes a insta call

and expect to be a huge fav

[MTPaid]

[laynegt]

[Zuccala]

[Triple B]

[MTPaid]

[Notorious_JC]

if he's AF 11 you have to call this. If he's AF under 1.5 it's a fold.

the higher the AF #, the more aggressively guys will play the same hand. If a guy is .8 and he's betting out, you know he's way strong. A guy with an AF over 4 is often betting out with nothing, or with draws. It's also worthy to mention that you have to pay attention to how MUCH they bet. Since AF relies only on bets/folds vs calls, there is no differentiation between a bet of $12 into a $10 pot, or a $.50 bet into a $10 pot, even though they are vastly different. That's one problem with AF as it's currently calculated, you need to be aware of this.

JC

[MTPaid]

[Zuccala]